An unbelievable game that ruined Texas' national championship hopes and will remain Texas Tech fan ammunition until the end of time.

Two years later it's two completely different teams. Gone are Jordan Shipley, Michael Crabtree, Graham Harrell, Colt McCoy and Mike Leach.

New characters in the drama from two years ago are Taylor Potts, Garrett Gilbert, Tre Newton, Lyle Leong and Mike Davis.

One notable constant? Blake Gideon. The monumental GOAT of the game who dropped a freebie INT right in his hands that would have ended the game. Gideon was a true freshman at the time and has had a remarkable career at UT. Too bad he'll be remembered for that one mistake no matter what he does.

Anyway, enough about 2008. What are the main factors heading into 2010?

To me, it's all about Tech's offense versus Texas' defense. And if we boil it down that simply...bet on a Texas win.

The Longhorns defense has played down to its below-average opponents so far this year and has only given up three TDs. Their rush defense is allowing around 2 yards per carry. Names like Sam Acho, Keenan Robinson, Gideon, Aaron Williams, Kenny Vaccaro, Christian Scott, Dravannti Johnson, Kheeston Randall, and Jackson Jeffcoat will become household names (or close to it) before the end of the year.

The Texas defense is ridiculously talented.

Tech's offense is stacked with names like Potts, Baron Batch, Eric Stephens, Leong, Detron Lewis and Jacoby Franks.

Does Texas have better athletes than Tech? Yes.

Has that ever stopped Tech from beating the Longhorns in Lubbock? Not one bit.

But the real question is: what do each team's weaknesses have to go up against?

The fireworks and attention will surround the times that Tech has the ball. But what about when Texas has the ball?

The UT offense will go against a Tech defense which has allowed about 380 yards per game and given up a total of 44 points to below-average teams. And those aren't trash yards allowed at the end of the game. SMU and New Mexico each played the Raiders close early in the game and SMU nearly pulled off the upset.

I just don't think the Raiders will be able to slow down the Texas offense enough to win. Tech will score points, they just won't be able to score enough.

All that being said let's boil it down to a simple formula I've come up with:

(Rivals.com five star recruits + number of career wins for head coach + points scored + TDs allowed - size of stadium / location of game's latitude and longitude) + (national championships - head-to-head wins * the square root of pages in the media guide) / (first downs allowed + sacks) =

Texas 38.
Tech 24.

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