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Storm or No Storm??

Another tricky forecast as we go into the thrid week of March! We will be cooler than average, as we are in a transition period. Things really get interesting on Tuesday when a storm system will eject out of the four corners region and head just south of Kansas City. Look at the difference between the models!! Below, is the ETA model for Tuesday evening. It which keeps all the moisture SOUTH of Kansas and Missouri:

If the ETA verifies we won't get anything here at all! But then we turn our attention to the GFS model. This model makes the storm look more impressive... and puts us in significant precipitation:

Which model is right, that is the million dollar question! Right now, we are playing it safe, and going with a combination of the two. We have a 40% chance of measurable precipitation Tuesday into Wednesday.

The next question is will it be rain or snow?? It is a tough call, as during the day, temps will warm above freezing. We could see snow overnight, and rain during the day. This is definitely something to pay attention to... we will update the forecast with new data every day!

Jamie Krumheuer

Posted by at March 13, 2005 8:41 PM