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Precip Chances Increasing

As we head into the work week, our chances for rain will increase! It was nice to have a warm, dry weekend... but some of us need the rain, too.

Here's what's happening. An upper-level disturbance is over southeastern Colorado tonight. See the GFS below:

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Notice that "x" surrounded by the yellow color in Colorado. THAT is the upper level wave! The GFS model progs it to track through Kansas into southern Nebraska... and eventually into southwest Iowa. Here is the 500mb forecast for 7pm Monday. See the upper wave JUST north of us:

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Because of this passing wave... we could see a few scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday afternoon and evening. Most of the moisture will stay northwest of KC... but we may see a little rain here, too! Here is the precip forecast from the GFS:

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Let's also look at the NAM model for the same time period:

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The NAM is painting a similar picture of light accumulations possible by midnight Monday night.

As for Tuesday... we look to be in drier air, but a front will be approaching us Wednesday. That will bring us another round of showers mid-week into week's end.

Jamie

Posted by at April 17, 2005 6:00 PM