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Weekend ends with a BANG!
After several days wth sunshine and warm temperatures... our weekend will end with a BANG! Highs Sunday will be the warmest yet, into the lower 80s. Check out the temperature forecast from the NAM model below:
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We will see a slow increase in moisture this week, as the Gulf opens up. By mid week, the upper-level flow will look something like this:
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There will be a closed low over the northwest part of the country, with a high pressure ridge in the souteast. Between the two, a frontal boundary will set up at the surface. That front will be the focal-point for shower and thunderstorm development throughout the week. So we will have to keep an eye out for exactly WHERE the front will be! Some of the models put it north of KC... some drop it south. If it ends up being SOUTH... we will be WETTER and COOLER. If it stays NORTH... we will be DRIER and WARMER. Stay tuned...
Meantime, enjoy the beautiful weather we have NOW!!
Jamie :)
Posted by at April 16, 2005 5:49 PM
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Hello:
I'm concerned about a slight chance of Severe Storms on Wendsday evening. I think that Damaging outflow winds and Quarter sized hail being the main threat if the storms can rotate. Could you look at your maps and see if there is the possibility of an MCS ?
Steve
STEVE:
There is a chance of showers and thunderstorms Wednesday evening. At this point, it looks like our winds aloft are going to be pretty weak. Check out the upper level maps... you should see this trend for 7pm Wednesday. This will help limit the threat of severe storms, but we will have to wait and see how the other elements set up.
It looks like we could see an increase in the chance for stronger storms as the front comes through late Thursday/early Friday.
Posted by: Steve Newport at April 17, 2005 1:56 PM
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