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Spotty, at best!
Showers and thunderstorms are moving through the viewing area this evening... but they are spotty at best. Not everyone will see rain, and those that see a shower will only see minimal rain accumulations. Our dry streak continues!!
Our dew points DID come up today... we have been in the upper 50s to near 60 degrees. But a cold front coming through did NOT provide much forcing... so it was hard for any organized precip to get going this afternoon.
Monday and Tuesday... some clouds look like they'll hang around, but we should also see some peeks of sunshine. There will be a storm CLOSE to us on Wednesday... but will it bring us RAIN?? Here is the NAM for Wednesday morning:
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Now look where the rain is forecast:
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Both the NAM and the GFS are keeping the rain to our west. We will have to watch it... but at this point, no showers in the forecast until the end of the week.
By Thursday we start to see the Gulf open up... this means moisture from the Gulf of Mexico will be free to move into the central part of the US. You can see the flow on the GFS for Thursday evening:
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The transport of warm, moist air into the KC area will increase our chance of showers by Friday and into the weekend.
Have a great Memorial Day!
Jamie
Posted by at May 29, 2005 7:24 PM
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Holiday or no holiday, it would be nice to see some rain. Even looking at the models here, Wednesday looks like the best bet--despite the flow at the end of the week being forecast returning from the south--the GFS doesn't seem to bring any rain into the picture along with the low level moisture. Do you think the low projected to be in the plains will provide enough energy to provide for more rain then is currently projected, or are we being set up for another disappointment (for those of us bored with all this NICE weather lol).
MIKE:
Looks like you are still missing out on the major moisture! We've had well over an inch in many spots (some places over TWO inches)... but the rain has just not moved east into your area! This has been because of the drier east winds that have kept the rain at bay east of KC. Another weird storm!
Jamie
Posted by: Mike from Warrensburg at May 29, 2005 10:55 PM
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