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 May 15, 2005

Warming Trend

After a cool weekend with highs in the 60s... we will start to moderate on Monday. Winds will shift in from a more southerly direction... and that will help boost afternoon highs into the lower 70s. By Tuesday, the winds will become stronger... bringing in even warmer air. We'll climb up near 80 degrees on Tuesday.

The next chance of showers comes Wednesday, as a storm heads our way.

Now a note on how computer models can change big-time from day to day! Take the GFS model. Yesterday evening, the model was showing the scenario below for the end of next week:
early thursday evening.gif
Click to enlarge

This shows our Wednesday storm moving off to the east... over West Virginia and Pennsylvania. But that SAME model... from this MORNING's run... shows something completely different:
thurs evening.gif
Click to enlarge

Notice the model is NOW cutting that low off down to our south. It is a trend that the other models are not picking up on... but it is something we will have to watch. It is just amazing how a model can change so much from run to run!

Enjoy the warmer temperatures...
Jamie :)

Posted by at May 15, 2005 7:57 PM

Comments

****************
I have a question unrelated to the warming trend. Is there any place I can find a map of the counties in KS and MO that I can print? When you show the county maps for the watched and warnings I am never sure exactly what counties are included. I appreciate your help.
Thanks,
Karen

Karen,

Search the internet for a county map. I am not sure right now, but we will look into it.

Gary

KAREN:
A good place to go is the NWS website. On their home page... there is a county map with cities on it. If you put your mouse over one of the counties, it will tell you which one it is!
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/eax/
Hope that helps!
Jamie

Posted by: Karen at May 16, 2005 9:30 AM

****************
Jamie,

This is a perfect example as to why one should always take an extended forecast with a grain of salt.

BRIAN:
SO true!!
Thanks for posting,
Jamie

Posted by: Brian at May 16, 2005 11:00 AM

 
 

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