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 June 30, 2005

No surprise today! What's next?

Today was a very interesting day. Actually, just a stronger version of what happened Tuesday morning. Yesterday we saw the high likelyhood of thunderstorms lasting all day and centered near Kansas City. We are in the right rear quadrant of the exiting jetstream and storm system moving across the northern Great Lakes. This is an area where if you have moisture available thunderstorms are the result. We have moisture available and KCI airport is approaching 3 inches. The areas to the south are about to get hit as well, but not as much.

Oh my! Look at early next week. There are many ingredients coming together for a widespread heavy rain event, and in JULY. It may heat up for a day or two and that is it for a while.

Below is the forecast rainfall for the 60 hours ending next Tuesday. Natural fireworks may be on the way.
GFS Forecast Rainfall.gif

Click to enlarge The red areas show 3 to 5 inches of rain possible

Posted by at June 30, 2005 3:02 PM

Comments

***********
Gary, about an hour or so ago we had a lightning strike the apple tree outside our back door in Leavenworth. The tree has had it, but there does not appear to be any damage to the house. Our 12 year old collie, Foxy, was about 20 feet away from the strike and was quite dazed and confused. She seems to be coming around now. I have no idea how much rain we've had, but it has thundering and raining all day. Love Windy and Stormy and your weather forecasts.

Lundy,

Sorry to hear about the apple tree. And, I am glad Foxy is well. Windy and Stormy don't like the rain, but they will love tomorrow.

Gary

Posted by: Lundy Mays at June 30, 2005 3:26 PM

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Gary, you're by far the most accurate and entertaining weathercaster in Kansas City and I watch you all the time. Concerning your comments about a possible heavy rain event early next week, computer models are nice and all, but 3 days ago how many computer models were forecasting 3 inches of rain around Kansas City today?

Pat,

The computer models have had a hard time with today's event because they had the front moving to fast and leaving us in the dry air. The timing gradually came together and boom....3" of rain or more as it continues to fall.

Next week is not just looking good because of the computer output. It is quite impressive for a few rounds of thunderstorms. So, we'll see.

Gary

Posted by: Pat at June 30, 2005 3:30 PM

************
You are talking about a rain event next week, but will we see more severe weather with this event if it happens?

AARON:
Hi, there... next week flooding will definitely be a concern if everything comes together. We will have to wait and see how things set up for wind or hail damage. Of course, with thunderstorms, lightning is always a threat!
Jamie

Posted by: Aaron at June 30, 2005 5:28 PM

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Hey should appleton expect any severe weather from these storms tonight or what is going to happen

DANIEL:
The rain is over for now. Today should be dry, and then the chance of thunderstorms is back Monday and Tuesday.

Posted by: Daniel from appleton city at June 30, 2005 8:17 PM

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Gary,

I am a Baldwin City, Kansas resident and about 8:30 tonight there was a roar sound in our area. I looked at the radar but there was no hint of a tornado or anything of that nature. All the radar showed was a green or light rain with a heavier cell down toward Ottawa. Can you explain this please.

RYAN:
Even though it might have only been light rain by you... it was probably thunder that you heard. In Overland Park, I was hearing rumbles of thunder ALL day... even though it wasn't even raining at times!
Jamie

Posted by: Ryan at June 30, 2005 8:41 PM

*****************
Great Job Gary!!

I am a big fan of both you and Mike Thompson, but I got to say you are the more accurate of the two. You consistently hit the mark every time. My hat is off to you!! KC could not have a better Meteorolgist!!

HANS:
Thanks for the nice comments! We work very hard--thanks for noticing our accuracy!
Gary

Posted by: Hans Richardson at July 1, 2005 7:57 AM

 
 

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