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Active weather! & Weather Pattern
A back door cold front moved slowly through the Kansas City area today. A back door cold front is one that comes in from the northeast. Usually cold fronts come in from the north or northwest. This one came in from the northeast and thus is called a back door cold front.
Thunderstorms developed in the slightly converging air near this boundary. It should be south and west of the Kansas City area on Tuesday, so I am expecting it to be dry. But this is when things change. A very wet pattern could set up later this week.
Below is the new GFS forecast rainfall for the 60 hours ending Friday morning. I am not sure how it will set up Thursday and Friday, but I wouldn't be surprised.
Now, If you remember a blog from when I returned from Washington D.C. to present my weather pattern theory, I explained how the old pattern died out. And, a completely different weather pattern was in chaotic transition. Then, I explained how to show how this has happened let's watch and see how the thunderstorms the rest of this month will be completely different than the earlier part of the summer. And, suddenly it started raining in Illinois and over the drought plagued counties of Missouri. And, we started having regular rain. This is no surprise to me. It didn't have to become a wet pattern. I was anticipating something completely different and it just happens to be a very wet pattern right now.
Posted by at August 22, 2005 6:26 PM
hey what is your gut feeling on how much it will rain?
Anywhere from one inch on the low end to four inches or more. Some spots could get 6-8 inches before it is all over.
Posted by: kw at August 23, 2005 12:41 PM
I would like to read about your presentation in D.C. Where can I find more information?
We will blog about the weather pattern theory from time to time... but right now the presentation is not online.
Thanks for posting,
Posted by: Ronda at August 23, 2005 1:08 PM
I'm eager to hear the response that you received from your presentation on your weather theory. I haven't seen a post-presentation post about your experience at the conference.
Go back to August 8th... I posted about the trip to D.C. there.
Thanks for posting!
Posted by: Michael S. at August 23, 2005 10:28 PM
It looks like we may not see 90 degrees again this year? Oh, please say it's so...
You're right... it's hard to hit 90 with clouds and rain around! Right now, it does look like we could make a run for 90 again next week as we dry out a bit. Summer is not over yet!
Posted by: Anne Jackson at August 23, 2005 10:59 PM
no matter how it sets up, it's getting old already! wash car, rains. wash car again, rains. need some nice DRY air... i'm growing gills!
Isn't it crazy that most of the winter the storms MISSED us... but now we seem to be the target of storms?! That is definitely a sign that we are in a changing period! And I, too, have been caught in one of our recent downpours with a clean car... *sigh*. ;)
Thanks for posting!
Posted by: mike trainor at August 24, 2005 8:15 AM
Its rained in KC the last 10 or 11 days and I hear you saying its too much rain. KC has gotten @ 10 inches but up here around the Chillicothe area we have seen @ 3 inches of rain this month compared to July where it was @ one inch of rain. It would be nice if some of these rain storms wouldn't disappear before it reaches Chillicothe and get more than a half inch of rain here and there.
It must be frustrating for you to still be relatively dry after all the rain we are seeing in the area. It's SO close to you. Keep us posted of your totals as we finish summer.
Posted by: Steve E. at August 25, 2005 3:55 PM
This is Thursday August 25, 2005 at 4:10 p.m. I am one block from Belvidere School where you give some of your temperatures. At this time, since the rain began last night, I have received 6 1/2 inches of rain. Just thought I would let you know.
Thank you so much for your rainfall information!
Posted by: Anne Wilson at August 25, 2005 4:12 PM