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 August 26, 2005

Rain rain has gone away!!

Finally! A dry forecast! If you were outside this afternoon, you might have noticed the clouds were very stable-looking. No vertical development... just fair weather cumulus! That is a sign that we will not see any rain tonight. You can see the cold front is still moving through our area... but it is weakening RIGHT now as winds are very calm along the front. There is just no forcing here:

sfc_map.gif

And now a look at the satellite data. If the front generates anything this evening, it looks like it will be south of KC.

sat_vis_us.gif
Click to enlarge

There is not much of a temperature drop behind the front, so we will see highs in the upper 80s for the next several days. But the biggest news is that we will be DRY!! Yeay!

Here are some of the rainfall totals from the past two days:
KCI: 1.41"
DOWNTOWN: 2.16"
OLATHE: 3.40"
EMPORIA: 5.74"
KNOB NOSTER: 3.52"
SEDALIA: 2.54"
ST. JOSEPH: .94"
CHILLICOTHE: .87"
TOPEKA: 1.26"
LAWRENCE: 1.66"


Now on to the tropics. It looks like Hurricane Katrina will make a second landfall along the Gulf Coast. Here are the latest stats:

WINDS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.

MOTION: WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. THIS MOTION
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE WEST EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

PRESSURE: 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.

Here is the satellite view of Katrina:

blue.jpg
Click to enlarge

And the latest model data is taking Katrina farther south. With this path, the hurricane could make landfall again close to New Orleans, LA:

gfs_500_072s.gif
Click to enlarge

More on Katrina over the weekend!!
Jamie

Posted by at August 26, 2005 5:38 PM

Comments

**************
Clinton recived 3.1 inches of rain within the last 2 days

JOHN:
Wow... quite an impressive total! Thanks for the info!
Jamie

Posted by: John Moon III at August 26, 2005 9:47 PM

****************
Hi Jamie,
First off, you have a great man to send you those flowers... My wife said "it has been a long time...ha! I was wondering if the hurricane will affect our weather.

Thanks..randy

RANDY:
Haha, thanks for posting! I know I am marrying a good man! :) He doesn't send flowers much, but it just makes it that much more special when he DOES! :)

Right now, it looks like the effects of Katrina will stay East of KC. We'll have to keep an eye on it, of course... as rain is forecast by some of the models to reach as far West as Southeast Missouri... and possibly even to St. Louis!

Jamie

Posted by: Randy Senior at August 27, 2005 3:48 PM

**************
If Hurricane Katrina takes a forecasted path and slides across southeastern Missouri, what impact will that have on our precipition and also will it do anything to destroy the ridge of high pressure and accompanying 90+ heat forcasted for next week?
In other words, what will be its immediate and lasting impact on our current and fall weather.

DWIGHT:
Hello, there! Right now, it looks like we will NOT have any precip from Katrina. The models keep the storm EAST of KC... and while our winds might shift a bit... that would be the extent of it. Of course, if the hurricane's PATH shifts a bit... it would be a different story! Sooooo at this point, it does NOT look like it will be affecting our weather. But stay tuned.
Jamie

Posted by: Dwight at August 27, 2005 3:51 PM

 
 

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