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 August 8, 2005

Washington D.C. and Rainfall forecast

Washington D.C. was quite an experience, with all of the historic sites. But overall the city isn't nearly as nice as Kansas City. The people are friendlier here.

Thursday morning, is when I made the unveiling of my weather pattern theory. This is something that I have been working on for about 15 years and especially in the last three when we have discovered other aspects of my theory. So, doing the presentation in front of my peers and meteorologists from around the world it was quite an experience. It went over well and there were quite a few questions. Afterwards someone came up and asked me to set up a website to track the weather pattern as the new unique one sets up this fall. I will likely set that up.

So, I am back and the weather pattern is VERY interesting. We are now in a new weather pattern as last winter's weather pattern has just fallen apart in the past few days. So, with a new pattern, a completely different one for the first time in 9 months we can expect something different to happen. This is exactly what is forecasted by the computer models in the next few days. Look below at the rainfall forecast for this weekend. It could get very wet. More on this later this week.

gfs precip Forecast 60hrs.gif


Gary

Posted by at August 8, 2005 5:55 PM

Comments

*****************
Gary--you should post your power point presentation (and maybe the paper itself) on the website so we can read it.

Rob,

I really need to start a website so I can post these things. My powerpoint presentation is 55 slides long, so I doubt I could just post it. I will talk to our engineers about it.

Gary

Posted by: Rob Dobson at August 9, 2005 9:13 AM

*************************
Congratulations on your presentation--I'm sure it was a great success--especially in a professional forum such as that. I have a question about our forcasted changing pattern. Does this mean the seasonal Bermuda high is breaking down or just shifting to allow some polar air to move into the area? Also, will this create enough instability to finally produce rain over the ENTIRE area? Unfortunately those of us in west-central Missouri have missed out on all of the last rain events.

Mike,

This new weather pattern is in uncharted territory. So, even though it looks like a widespread rain event we will have to wait and see how it sets up.

Gary

Posted by: Mike from Warrensburg at August 9, 2005 10:09 AM

*************
I've noticed recently that these pop-up storms often seem to be movingin opposite, or at least different, directions. I assumed that most storms moved in conjunction with a front. How do two storms only miles apart move in different directions?

Dwight,

Thunderstorms almost always move in the direction of the mid level flow around 15,000 feet up. This flow aloft has been very weak and this is why the thunderstorms have been hardly moving at all. One thunderstorm may weaken and then redevlop on the outflow. The new thunderstorm could form north of the cell and then on radar it looks like the thunderstorm moved north.

Gary

Posted by: Dwight at August 9, 2005 5:03 PM

****************
Gary,

There is a setting in PowerPoint that allows you to convert it into a really cool looking webpage archive - Just go to save as, then "Web Archive" The way it formats it allows it to use less space for easy downloading and it's easy to navigate too. :) Hope this helps.

ANNE:
Thanks for the tip! We'll try it!

Posted by: Anne Jackson at August 10, 2005 6:52 AM

***************************
I'm anxiously awaiting your long range forcast for fall and winter. Aside from the fact that this weather is fairly miserable I'd love to make fall and even winter plans and NOBODY calls it like you do. I'll be watching the news and this site. I'd love to hear more about your presentation.

Julie,

Remember, according to my theory, the weather pattern for next winter and spring sets up in late October and early November. There is no preliminary way of predicting it. We will be watching closely. In the mean time last year's pattern has died and now it is chaos. I like the new chaotic pattern, however, and we finally are wet again.

Gary

Posted by: Julie at August 11, 2005 11:53 AM

 
 

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