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Will It Rain Later Today?

Good morning,
Okay, so forecasting the rain this morning was a piece of cake.
At 3:00 a.m. there was a wall of water headed our way. Here are some rainfall totals that fell in less then an hour this morning.
K.C.I.------------------------.46"
Downtown-------------------.76"
Olathe New Century------.96"
Shawnee-------------------1.04"
Plaza-------------------------.80"
The rain blew through this morning with 30 to 40 mile an hour wind gusts and now we are left with the question, "will it rain this afternoon or evening"? There is still a weak cold front moving in the direction of K-C late today and I found these two graphics from the "Rapid Update Cycle" model that shows CAPE or Convective Available Potential Energy, in the order of 3000 to 5000 jewels/kilogram. That's a lot of fuel.
It appears the atmosphere could refuel for another round later today.

The first one is at 1 p.m. this afternoon.

This second one is six hours later, probably the best chance for more rain and maybe some gusty winds in the thunderstorms.

Once these thunderstorms move through our overworked atmosphere should be settling down for the weekend. More sunshine and a drier flow aloft that should produce an extended period of warm late August weather.

Have a great weekend,

Brett

Posted by at August 26, 2005 7:56 AM