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 September 4, 2005

Changing pattern

It is Sunday evening and we are on late because of Nascar. There are 45 laps left to go so we are likely on tonight at 11 PM. Hopefully some of you will be watching. I am here tonight as Jamie Krumheuer is off for a few days.

Well, we are moving through September pretty quietly so far. The weather pattern is in major transition right now. A cold front will be slowing down as it approaches the area Wednesday. If it gets here we could see some very heavy rainfall, but it appears now that the front will stall to our north and then move back northward. This will be happening in response to the jet stream diving southward near the west coast. This will keep us warm for a while. Below you can see the 500 mb charts for Monday and for one week from Monday. Look at the jet stream diving into the western U.S.

gfs part 1.gif

click to enlarge (this is Labor Day 500 mb flow) This shows the jet stream much further north than the prediction for one week from now over the western U.S. seen below

gfs part 2.gif


Click to enlarge

Posted by at September 4, 2005 10:20 PM

Comments

**************
Hey Gary,
Is there any chance of the front making it into the metro area? If so, what could the rainfall totals be?

Keep up the good work!

Kinley,

It looks like the front will stay well north of the metro area, so I expect it to stay dry for a while.

Gary

Posted by: kinley at September 5, 2005 4:35 PM

 
 

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