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 September 20, 2005

Rita, could she affect our weather?

Hurricane Rita is gaining strength as she moves into the Gulf of Mexico. There is a high likelyhood that Rita will become a category 4 hurricane or stronger. The upper level steering currents are projecting a landfall near Houston or south of there on the Texas coast. If she hits the Texas coast south of Houston then Rita could actually affect our weather. The GFS precipitation forecast (see map below) shows the heaviest rain of the remnants of Rita potentially hitting us. It is still a few days away. Look below. We will know a lot more by tomorrow.

gfs rita.gif

The other big forecast problem is the cold front moving our way and through us on Thursday evening. This should cool us off significantly and I believe the computer models are way too warm and thus our cooler forecast for Friday through Sunday in the 70s. It may be in the 60s for highs.

Posted by at September 20, 2005 4:26 PM

Comments

*******************
will the effects of Rita be worse in KC when it hits the cold fronts that are moving through? Should we expect severe weather from Rita or just heavy rain?

DWIGHT:
The cold front will help draw moisture from the remnants of Rita northward, towards KC. We would most likely see a heavy rain event, if it plays out this way. But it is still too early to tell how it will set up. Stay tuned!
Jamie

Posted by: Dwight at September 21, 2005 1:03 PM

**************
Would the remanents of Rita feed into the cold front, making a massive rain producing front? Also, is the front forecast to be sharp enough that, with tropical moisture and warm air transported by the low that Rita will become, a widespred severe weather outbreak will be possible?

MIKE:
Right now, it looks like we would see a heavy rain event, if anything. We will see what happens as Rita makes landfall. A lot can change between now and then!
Jamie

Posted by: Mike from Warrensburg at September 21, 2005 1:19 PM

 
 

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