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Developing Storm
Today, a storm has been developing over Southwest Missouri. Here is a look at the surface observations. You can see a rotation in the wind fields, where the storm has been strengthening:

Click to enlarge
Here in Kansas City, north of the storm, a few passing showers or a brief thunderstorm is not out of the question this evening. However, in the warm, muggy air south and east of the storm... we have seen quite a bit of destabilization... the atmosphere has become prime for stronger storms. Therefore, a TORNADO WATCH has been issued EAST of Kansas City until 10pm. The only counties in our viewing area included in the watch are Saline and Pettis... and it looks like the strongest storms are already EAST of there, and moving away. So the severe weather threat tonight is low for us.
What's in store for Sunday? Well, a large surface high will be building in! High pressure is our "fair weather friend"... in that it typically brings pleasant weather conditions. Here is a look at Sunday's forecasted surface map:

Click to enlarge
The forecast is great for the Chief's game! A little cooler in the morning, but we'll see highs in the lower 60s and plenty of sunshine through the afternoon! :)
It is really good to be back after more than two weeks off for our wedding and honeymoon. I've had a lot of requests to post some honeymoon pictures... so I will do just that! We went to Ocho Rios, Jamaica... and stayed at Couples Sans Souci. It is an amazing property... one of the only resorts there that is actually built into cliffs. Here are some pictures:

This is the view from our balcony. We spent a lot of time out there, just taking it all in!

I made Ken take a lot of pictures of the building cumulus clouds in the afternoon. Don't they look so pretty?



This is looking back at the building we stayed in. Because the resort is built into cliffs, there are a lot of stairs to climb! :)

On Sunset Beach

Ouch! haha... yes, we are dorks...

This is Charlie... she is a sea turtle and is more than 100 years old! Charlie lives in the mineral spring grotto that bubbles up from beneath the resort. These mineral waters are said to have great health and rejuvinating benefits.
I truly think we picked the perfect honeymoon spot... we can't wait to go back for an anniversary someday! :)
Have a good night,
Jamie
Posted by at November 5, 2005 6:40 PM
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I was wondering if the below normal sea surface temperatures in the Eastern Pacific will affect the winter forecast. Also, is the fast zonal flow pattern going to persist for a long time for our part of the country? Your forecast team is the best!
Devin Kellerman
Devin,
I don't believe that the sea temperatures affect the weather pattern that much. Something much bigger is going on.
Gary
Posted by: Devin Kellerman at November 5, 2005 8:44 PM
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Wow Jamie what a wild Weather day Saturday was for the folks just east of here. First off CONGRATS on your wedding, I hope your days are happy ones. Im a Severe Storms person. So Severe weather is a part of my life. I read the log book of severe weather events for saturday. The reports reminded me of I think it was 1972, 73 or 74 when a massive amount of Tornadoes ripped through parts of Ohio, Kentucky, Tennesee, Alabama and Mississippi. I recall over 75 Tornadoes touched ground that day and night. The only change is that Saturday there was was only one confirmed touched down, many Tornado warnings were issued. There was a lot of large hail and high wind reports across these areas. The closest report to us was in eastern Missouri, I think it was Boone County were they had one inch hail and a report of 80 mph winds. All these reports just remined me of that day long ago. Were you still in Ohio back during the wild day ? Were anywhere near Xenia that day ? They say it was Mutiple vortex. The film I saw of the Xenia nader had 4 Seperate Vortexes. I wonder if that was a true film ?
Steve Newport
DeSoto Kansas
HI STEVE:
Thanks for your nice words... it is exciting being a Mrs!
The super tornado outbreak you are talking about occured in 1974. It was April 3rd-4th of that year, and to this day it is one of the largest disasters in American history.
We call it a "Super Outbreak" because more than 100 twisters tore across several states, killing 335 people in just 16 hours.
You are correct that one of them ripped through Xenia, Ohio. Xenia is a suburb of Dayton, Ohio... I grew up in Kettering... another Dayton suburb.
I was not around when this disaster hit... but when I worked in Dayton, I covered many stories about the survivors still in Xenia today. They truly have amazing stories, and amazing strength.
At more than half a mile wide, the F5 tornado killed 33 people and injured more than 1,300. It completely destroyed thousands of buildings, homes and even schools.
Then, in September of 2000, another major tornado hit Xenia, Ohio. This was an F4, if I remember right... and it damaged almost 350 buildings and homes. I was working in Charleston, West Virginia during that tornado... but I was tracking it in the forecast center, as many of my family and friends live close to Xenia.
A few years later I WAS working in Dayton, when an F4 tornado hit the town of Van Wert, Ohio... about an hour and a half northwest of Dayton. I was on the air doing live coverage of that tornado, and we also covered the aftermath there.
It is amazing what mother nature can do.
Jamie
Posted by: Steve Newport at November 6, 2005 8:10 AM
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Congratulations on your wedding!!! We were thinking of going to Jamaica and wondered if you were there after the hurricane? Pictures don't show any damage.
Thanks Skip
HI SKIP:
We went to Jamaica right after Wilmia. Wilma did not directly hit Jamaica, so there was not a lot of wind damage... but it did bring flooding rains there. The only signs I could see were on the road from the airport to the resort. There were a lot of places on that road that were still underwater from the heavy rains.
Wind damage that IS noticable... is actually from Ivan, which hit last year. You can see palm trees ripped clean of the leaves...
Hope that helps you!!
You will LOVE Jamaica... it is AWESOME!! :)
Jamie
Posted by: Skip at November 6, 2005 8:15 AM
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Hey Jamie, Cool Pictures, and CONGRATS!
We also went to Jamaica for our honeymoon 4 years ago! We went to Negril and stayed at Sandals. Really nice. Went back 2 years ago for our second visit. It's soooo laid back and easy going there!
Thanks for posting them!
MIKE:
I think the new Jamaica tourism tag line says it all:
"Once you GO... you KNOW!"
Ya Mon!
Jamie :)
Posted by: Mike at November 7, 2005 2:48 PM
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