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Is the storm still trending further to the south? If so, do you think we will see some accumulating snowfall tonight?

BRYAN:
As you know, the storm went north... so no accumulations for us... again... :(
Jamie

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Hi guys how are you doing? I was just wondering about this winter and the storm systems. Do you think that this winter will be a little more potent than last year? Because last year in Clinton,Mo we had a total of 6 inches for the entire year.
2 storms produced 1/2 inches of snow each
1 storm produced 2 inches of snow
1 storm produced 3 inches of snow
This was well below the adv snowfall accumlation:and you guys know I love snow so I was not happy at all. But the way these storms systems are coming through at such an early time to me I think in my opinion we are in for a active winter season. Have you found out anything about the cycles of the storm systems yet. Based on what you have now can you find a pattern yet,or do we have to wait and watch until a pattern does set up. Do you think that Clinton could recive more than 6 inches of snow this year? Or is this a question I need to wait on until the pattern sets up. It was good to talk to you guys when we had that severe weather a few days ago. Thanks for keeping me informed. I'll talk to you guys later.

HI, JOHN:
Thanks so much for your snowfall data, and thanks for calling in during our severe weather. I am glad you got home ok! :)

As for the winter pattern... we're still watching it to pick out the cycle. We've noticed storm systmes that look similar... but don't have a feel for the overall pattern yet. There is the potential for a warm-up here in 10 days or so... if that happens, that might be a clue for us to make some conclusions! So stay tuned!

And snowfall still looks below average... we called for 11 inches at the beginning of the season. Look for an update before Christmas.

Jamie

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Gary,

Watched your 6 pm forecast tonight (Nov 30), and was wondering why you never mentioned the snow advisery that affects the northern portion of your viewing area. I noticed on KCTV5 at 5pm that they mentioned one, as does the NWS, why didn't you?

Thanks

BRANDI:
Gary rarely mentions advisories he does not believe are warranted. The snow advisory WAS needed in some counties... but these counties were not in our viewing area. The counties we cover only got about an inch or less of snow.
Hope that helps!
Jamie

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Hi! I noticed while looking at radar that the storm seems to be dissipating before it reaches KC, is this going to be happening all night, or will the air become moist enough?

MATT:
The storm tracked to our north, so we didn't get a good snow here. Some of the *bands* may have weakened... but the storm itself didn't... and is still going today.
Jamie

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Hey Guys, I have a question regarding "long range" forecasts. I am learning to read numerical models and when I studied the 384 hour loop of the MSLP 1000/500mb I see that the storms are trending more southward. Generally this means more of a chance for frozen precipitation for us. My question is, is this really a trend that I am seeing and if so, how long should it last. I understand that this is sort of an off topic question and may be a little too technical for this type of blog but if you get a chance to check out what I am looking at and comment on it I would appreciate it. Thanks and keep up the great work.

Here is the link to the loop I was refering to.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/model_m.shtml

MIKE:
You are correct, we would be more likely to get snow if a storm tracks just to the south of KC. However, the maps you are looking at are WAY out in the future. Those storms may not even really BE there... as the models are not reliable that far out. Keep looking at the models for that storm as we go through the next several days... and you might find that it either changes placement... or it might go away alltogether!
Thanks for blogging... let us know if you have any more quesitons!
Jamie