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Warmer Novembers?
After starting the month of November with three days in a row in the 70s... we're getting a lot of viewer questions. Is it normal to be this warm? Eric writes:
So with us starting out this warm in November does this mean we will have a pretty warm winter? It seems to me from the last few years we have been getting a lot more days in the 60s and 70s in November. Is it just me or do you see the same trend?
I looked back to the past six years... and this is what I found:
2004:
We had only TWO days in the 70s... and SIX days in the 60s. None of these mild days came after the 18th of the month.
2003:
We had only TWO days in the 70s... none of which came after the 20th of the month. We had FOUR days in the 60s, the last falling on the last of the month!
2002:
This year, we had only ONE day in the 70s, that was on the 7th. The 60s saw SIX days, with the last being the 29th.
2001:
What a WARM November! The first seven days straight were in the 70s, with a total of TEN 70 degree days for the month... the last falling on the 17th. We even had TEN days in the 60s, the last being the 23rd.
2000:
In contrast, this year was a COLD November! We had only ONE day in the 70s... and that was the first of the month! Just THREE days made it into the 60s. And we had a stretch from the 7th through the 13th of highs in the 30s! Brrrrr!
1999:
Another warm month... this year, November saw TEN days in the 70s, two of them being almost 80... at 78 degrees. EIGHT days made it into the 60s, the last falling on the 21st.
Sooooo.... just looking at that data, you can see that 60s and 70s are really common in November. Of course, some years are warmer than others... and some are colder.
Now, will the mild trend continue THIS November?? We are analyzing the data each day to make our winter weather forecast. We will give this forecast NEXT THURSDAY AT 10PM. Tune in!
Hope that helps you,
Jamie
Posted by at November 4, 2005 8:11 AM
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Jamie,
Welcome back! I hope you had a nice wedding and honeymoon. I liked your information about warm Novembers. However, given the information you showed and my fuzzy memory, haven't we really had warmer than average winters with less snowfall than normal during those same years?
Mark
HI, MARK:
Thanks for the welcome... the wedding and honeymoon were awesome! I will post some pictures over the weekend.
As for our winter history...
You are right, most of the past several winters have been either above normal or right at normal temperatures, overall.
Last year was below average on snowfall, but above average on precipitation.
The year before that.. we had 22" of snowfall, which was slightly above average.
We are working on this winter's forecast right NOW... as we speak! Watch next Thursday at 10pm for the scoop!
Jamie
Posted by: Mark M at November 4, 2005 3:41 PM
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Welecome Back Jamie!!!I hope you had a great time!!! Im excited about snow. Its great that you are back!!! TTYL
JOHN:
Thank you so much... we DID have a great time! It was hard to leave Jamaica to come home... but I missed Gary and the gang :) No snow in the forecast yet... but did you see the video of the Colorado Rockies?? Over a foot of snow there... good for the ski resorts!
Jamie
Posted by: John Moon III at November 4, 2005 4:16 PM
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