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 December 17, 2005

Snow is falling this morning

I actually saw the sun rise on the eastern horizon this morning while the snow was falling. A rare sight in Kansas City!

So, how much snow are we going to get out of this storm. The latest NAM and NGM are showing around 2 to 3 tenths liquid. The first 1/10th won't accumulate that much so I am thinking the accumulation part of this storm will be later today and tonight when we receive around .20" liquid. With a 12 to 1 ratio likely with the airmass we have in place, this should translate to a 2 to 3 inch snowfall. Some spots will likely get under 2 inches and a few spots could still approach 4 inches depending on who gets in a heavier band tonight. And in warm advection patterns the heaviest bands often get an additional 1 to 2 inches in this type of set up. The heaviest snow is likely to fall between midnight and 6 AM Sunday.

The latest trends however on Live Triple Action Doppler show some heavier bands already developing near the state line and I-70. Look below...

Snow Forecast.jpg

Above, you can see our snowfall forecast for this storm. A band of heavier snow will likely develop somewhere between Lawrence, KS and Richmond, MO. A 15 mile wide area could end up with an additional 1" to 2" or so. But, most locations around KC will likely see around 2" to 4". In the 3 to 6 inch area a few locations could see up to 8 or 9 inches if the storm really starts producing this afternoon as the warm advection zone sets up between Salina and Topeka.

Gary

Posted by at December 17, 2005 9:19 AM

Comments

*****************
Hey I was just wondering when the snow will start falling in appleton and how much will get. Also is there a chance for more snow to develop sunday night into monday morning

DANIEL:
It doesn't look like you've seen much snow in Appleton so far... but we could see more develop overnight. If you're lucky, you might end up with 2" or so.

Posted by: Daniel at December 17, 2005 3:52 PM

 
 

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