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Way to go on hanging it out there on your snowfall totals. All the others seem to be hedging their bets with lower totals and "oh, we don't know when the changeover will happen..." but after a thorough look through both the GFS and NAM today, I'm with you on thinking the higher totals are likely.

Neither model seemed to have a handle on today's warmth which was a concern earlier in the day, but with temps already dropping off into the mid-30s and rain becoming widespread through the area, helping to moisten up what had been an impressively dry air mass (44/20 late this afternoon at KCI!) and the little bit of evaporational cooling that got squeezed out helped. Now if we can just get the dynamic cooling cranked up through the day tomorrow, we should be all set for a big evening event!

JMG,

It is going to be an interesting day. We could wake up Tuesday and see 20 inches and be in shock, or we could wake up and see a dusting and wonder what happened. Snowstorms can drive you nuts.

Gary

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how much sleet will we see and will it stick since the temps are around 40?

Joe,

Tonight is when most of the accumulation will occur and the temperatures should drop to below freezing during the storm. So, there should be significant accumulations.

Gary

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HI, looks good, i love snow and hope we get at least some snow:D

John,

It still looks good. Let's see what we are thinking at 6 PM tonight.

Gary