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Three Storm Systems
We currently have our eye on 3 storm systems.
#1: This one is now over the Great Lakes. It will drop southeast and exit the United States this weekend. By the way it is producing a dusting to 2" of snow over Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois and much of the Midwest. This means over the last 7 days we have seen a 10"-30" snow storm pass to our north a 1"-4" snow storm pass to our south (last night across southern Kansas and all of Oklahoma), and now this next one to our northeast. This week has been a snow lovers nightmare!
#2: This storm is now just off of the west coast. See below the water vapor imagery for systems #1 and #2. This one will likely track across the northern Plains Sunday-Monday. We may get a few showers/T-Storms from it as it drags a weak front through our area.
Click to enlarge
#3: This one is very interesting. It is timed for next Wednesday-Thursday. It has potential to bring us some severe weather. (See map below) This storm fits Gary's 60 day cycle. Do you remember the Excelsior Springs tornado on November 29th? When this storm repeated at the end of January there was a small tornado near Wichita, KS. So, we have to watch this one closely.
Click to Enlarge
Valid Thursday, March 30th.
Jeff Penner
Posted by at March 23, 2006 6:26 PM
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Oh that's bad timing. On the 30th in Parkville there's a Storm Spotter Training Class.
Which to choose (haha), chasing or training?
I'm sure the convective outlook will change by then though, I hope.
Jeff,
It does not have to be the very moment of the seminar. And, it is still 7 days away. So, a million things can change between now and then.
Jeff
Posted by: Jeff at March 23, 2006 7:55 PM
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Jeff: Have you ever noted that in planting books showing climatological zones, KC is in a small oval that represents a warmer zone than the surrounding area?
Perhaps that shows historically that KC is warmer than other places nearby - wonder why? Heat island, or some subtle geographic anomaly or what???
Dog
DOG:
Perhaps just a snow-free black hole? ;)
Posted by: StormDog at March 23, 2006 10:11 PM
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Hey Jeff! First off, you guys are great and I always enjoy listening to your forcasts! I was wondering if you all think it's OK for me to take the sandbags out of the bed of my truck? Do you forsee any more major winter storms coming through?
Thanks a bunch!
BRAD:
I think it would be ok to take out the sandbags. We are heading into April... and temperatures will be warming. Average April snow is only an inch or so over the past 116 years.
Jamie
Posted by: Brad at March 24, 2006 11:51 AM
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We were supposed to get pounded by this big snow Monday. But, if you go back 60 days from Monday to January (using Gary's theory), we only had 1/8" of snow that day. He should smile at that if he didn't already remember that.
I have a smililar theory, but mine are based more on trends over years. I've kept detailed records since 1971 in graph form. I simply look at the graph for the last 60 days and compare that to the others since 1971. Our winter has pretty much been closest to 1973- 1974. For example, if you look up next Monday, March 27th, 1974, you'll see we had rain that day. And if you follow the trend for 1974, we will have an unusually dry and warmer than normal April as the storms will hold off till the first of May and come with an attitude.
Gary B.
Gary,
We believe that every year is unique. So, it may be interesting to compare this pattern to 1974, but I know it is very different. I think the storm systems will have an attitude in April and May.
Gary
Posted by: Gary B. at March 24, 2006 3:06 PM
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