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 March 18, 2006

WINTER STORM WATCH

TODAY'S NUMBERS:
HIGH: 45
LOW: 36

Well, here we go! On our way through the last storm of the winter season! This storm will straddle seasons, though, as Spring offically begins just after noon on Monday! And the change to spring might just coordinate with a change over to SNOW!! Let me elaborate...

We are still tracking this MAJOR STORM. You can see it on the satellite loop tonight, spinning over souther Nevada. Click the picture below to animate:

march 18 satellite.jpg

The storm is still forecast to slooooowly move our way! Atmospheric temperatures are looking ever so slightly cooler for Sunday. That means it now looks like we'll see some sleet and snow mixing in with our rain. Surface temps will still be just above freezing, so at this point, I am not expecting any major road problems tomorrow. Roads should be just wet.

As we talked about yesterday, the TRACK of this storm is everything when it comes to how much snow we are going to get. And I know that is the big question on everyone's minds! Tonight we went for 6 inches or MORE for our northern counties... and 2 inches or MORE for us here in KC. At this point, I am leaning towards the MORE... but I need more data. Make sure you watch the 10pm newscast!!

Here is the storm placement by the NAM... which takes the storm slightly farther south. A more favorable track for accumulating snow here in KC:

march 18 500 nam.gif
Click to enlarge

Just a slight shift in the storm's track, and it could bust a forecast!! That is why I am stressing out tonight! :) If we follow this model... the change over to all snow would happen just after noon on Monday, yes, JUST in time for spring:

march 18 nam sfc.gif

I will be here in the morning to update the situation... during the Today Show... so check back then! As it stands now, our Northern counties are under a WINTER STORM WATCH beginning Sunday night. Here is the link to check our watches/warnings:

NWS WATCHES & WARNINGS

Have a good one!
Jamie

Posted by at March 18, 2006 7:15 PM

Comments

*************
Hello Jamie,
I was wondering about tonight Sat night, what do you expect? Any any accumulating snow I know you think more on Mon, but I was wondering if we'll wake up to any thing on the ground tomorrow, Thanks for your time,
Anna

HI, ANNA:
For tonight, expect rain... mixing with sleet/snow at times. I do not expect any overnight accumulations at this time.
Jamie

Posted by: Anna at March 18, 2006 7:45 PM

***************
Jamie - 1. do not forget to change your name on the blogs :)

2. As I am sure Gary is thinking if not saying outloud - WOOHOO!!! Let me get teh snow shovel back out. The kids are off school and they are itching to dive into some snow. Bring it on!!!

LEONARD:
I have been meaning to get my name changed on the blog! I have to have someone change my login/password... I will get to it before long :)

I do think Gary is saying "woohoo!" right now... he is on his way back from Oklahoma as I type this. But I also know he's saying, "what if..." as in... what if the storm track shifts. We have to watch it. It looks like we WILL get sleet and snow, but how MUCH is the question.
Jamie

Posted by: Leonard at March 19, 2006 1:36 AM

 
 

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