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 May 19, 2006

Record heat.......95 degrees today

Good Friday evening everyone,

My allergies have turned into something bigger and I just want to get home and rest all weekend long.

At 4:54 PM we reached 95 degrees which broke the previous record of 94 sent just 8 years ago in 1998. I am not surprised and we should have predicted this yesterday. This morning we went for 93 degrees but even that was under done. There was one isolated thunderstorm northeast of Kansas City this evening, but now we need rain. It is drying out.

Our weather pattern is so strange it is hard to explain. At the surface we have a wind shift or weak cold front moving through right now. A stronger front should pass through over the weekend but this may go by somewhat unnoticed as well (Below is the 48 hour surface map valid Sunday at 1 PM showing a cold front or rather a stationary front which has stalled over northern Oklahoma or southern Kansas). We have to watch this area for potential thunderstorm development as well as areas up the western plains of eastern Colorado and Wyoming. If it is going to rain, complexes of thunderstorms will have to form and then move our way. Unfortunately a ridge aloft wants to park itself near eastern Kansas drifting to the west and then moving back our way for the next week. So, it could be a battle for us to get rain. And we may lose this battle for another 10 days.
gfs_slp_048s.gif
Click to enlarge

Have a great weekend!

Gary

Posted by at May 19, 2006 7:45 PM

Comments

******************
Gary

With this current weather pattern cycle it seems like it is often much warmer than normal, and also drier than usual. Also, do you believe that temperature trends for the central part of the country correlate with sea surface temperatures in the Pacific during the summer? I am also wondering about the NAO and AO and how they dictate temperature trends during winter. Thanks

Devin Kellerman

Devin,

I think there is almost no correlation between sea surface temperatures in the Pacific and our weather. Maybe none at all!

This weather pattern has struggled all along. It is a warm pattern with some obvious cold stretches which keep repeating, but most of the time it is warm. Given the time of the year and the amplitude of this pattern I am expecting near to above average precipitation between now and the first day of summer.

Gary

Posted by: Devin Kellerman at May 19, 2006 9:08 PM

************
I knew it was HOT today but I was shocked to see it got that hot out. Usually we don't hit temperatures that high until late June or July, right?

Marlina,

This is not unheard of, but definitely rare. Fortunately a weak cold front has moved through and it will cool off. Usually there are thunderstorms along these weak cold fronts, but not this year.

Gary

Posted by: happy penguin at May 19, 2006 10:49 PM

***********************
I know the rain gauge totals do not suggest it but my landscaping is yelling the word drought. We had basically one week of rain this year. Yes it produced 4 inches of rain but it was only one week and that barely brought us up to average.

You are saying near normal precipitation over teh next month but as far as landscaping goes, will it actually produce that normal amount over several days or in one blast like last time?

Thanks,
Leonard

Leonard,

The last time we had 3 to 9 inches of rain across our area over a 20 day stretch. I am expecting the same kind of thing before summer settles in. But, when we go even one week without rain it dries up fast at this time of year, especially when it gets into the 90s. We really need one to two inches of rain every week from now through August. Most of the time we don't get that much.

Gary

Posted by: Leonard at May 20, 2006 5:40 AM

 
 

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