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An interesting question and this is working again.
The comments are seemingly all coming back in again. Below is a question from Jon about the flood of 1993 weather pattern:
Gary,
Now that you have presented your weather pattern theory, What is your take on the flooding in 1993 we had across the midwest in relation to your pattern? What happend that year with the pattern to cause such an extreme event? I believe you were in Kansas City at that time, and rather new to the area then, what a way to come to KC!!
Jon,
I haven't studied that year yet. But, I do remember the weather pattern well. We had a great and very exciting weather pattern during season 1992-1993. So, the flood of '93 occurred during that same pattern that set up in the fall of 1992. I still need to go back and look at all of the maps.
The flooding suddenly ended by the end of July and early August when the rain shut off. This is exactly when my theory says the weather pattern ends. So, it all fits. And, let's hope for a pattern like 1992-1993 next year. I don't want that extreme flooding, but I would like some normal storm systems.
Gary
Posted by at June 15, 2006 10:34 AM
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Good Afternoon, Jamie & Gary
I hope comments are posting again. Well, Gary..this is where it gets interesting..we have all these components setting up for weather here in the central midwest, the models showing some huge rainfall just west of us, the gulf open for business..yup..looks like rain..but..does it?? or do things go around us in a perplexing frustrating up and over, or a under and past, or just not materialize? it really should be interesting seeing if general soaking rains actually fall. My hunch?? we're finally due but I agree Gary..it's weird at best and i'm trying to stay positive, we surely need some widespread rain.
Robert
ROBERT:
We are still not sure about the rain this weekend. It is still showing up, but it is weird... Gary will have an update at 5!!
Jamie
Posted by: SkyMan at June 15, 2006 1:30 PM
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Gary,
I have a question that is off topic.
I have a comment about winter temperatures and the urban heat island effect. In the early part of December when we had the big snowstorm there were cold low temperatures. However, the differences between city and more rural reporting stations was extreme. I believe downtown was 0F, and Lawrence was
-18F on the same night. This occured on December 8 or 9. In fact, about the same amount of snowcover existed in both locations. Do you believe that river valleys magnify the cold temperatures, or is it all related to buildings, concrete, and power plants.
Also, the temperatures at KCI have been skewed over the years as more development has occured there. This was clearly evident as you look at the record books, and you see many record low temperatures that were set when the airport opened in the 1970s. Even with your weather pattern theory, the winter temperatures are so warm now we might as well be in the Mid-South climate zone!!! We are not really the Midwest anymore when it comes to overall climate.
Devin Kellerman
Devin,
Good observations. The heat island affect really shows itself with morning lows. And, on those cold mornings it can be 15 degrees colder within a few miles of a "heat island" station like downtown Kansas City.
The climate sure does seem to be changing.
Gary
Posted by: Devin Kellerman at June 15, 2006 1:40 PM
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Howdy! Is the reason that this is a perplexing forecast due to a potential for a severe storm outbreak surprise for the end of the severe weather season?
Hank,
No surprise severe weather. This weather pattern is just horrible. I just hope it rains.
Gary
Posted by: hank at June 15, 2006 3:23 PM
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Remember Next Week is Lightning Saftey Awareness Week.
Steve,
Thanks for the reminder.
Gary
Posted by: Steve Newport at June 15, 2006 5:11 PM
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Hi - YAWN... I won't be holding my breath for rain, but at this point in this awful year, I would just as soon keep the rain away - yes, the Dog is rooting for no rain - the reason why is that my grass is turning nice and brown, and I don't want to mow for a few weeks. That is the only benefit of the drought I can think of.
Also, the NWS putting POPS up to 50% is the kiss of death for anything happening, and be assured, if it does, IT WON'T BE OVER BLUE SPRINGS. Not this year for sure.
YAWN,
Dog
DOG:
You sure do a lot of YAWNing! ;)
Story of the year!
Jamie
Posted by: StormDog at June 15, 2006 6:55 PM
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Gary - 2215 - go back and look at the hook echo up in Nebraska, some miles west of Mullen - that thing is huge.
Dog
Posted by: StormDog at June 15, 2006 10:23 PM
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I'm traveling to Omaha this weekend. Should I expect any severe weather or just rain and off and on t-storms? Thanks!
KATIE:
It will be mainly on and off thunderstorms, but for TODAY there is a slight risk of severe weather. I don't think it will be a major outbreak, but if you are leaving today... watch for the potential for hail/wind.
Jamie
Posted by: Katie at June 16, 2006 8:06 AM
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Jamie,
I am heading to Knob Noster tomorrow for the Wings Over Whiteman Airshow. From Last night it looks like that area is is the red area for 2 or more inches of rain for tomorrow and sunday. The Air Show last from 9 AM to 5 PM. Do you think thunderstorms will form in that area between those times or do you think it will start up much later in the evening.
Thanks.
Jeff,
There is a chance all day Saturday, but it may only rain for 1 or 2 hours. Maybe it will be in the morning and you will have a great day. Let's hope.
Gary
Posted by: Jeff at June 16, 2006 1:34 PM
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Hey, I'm going fishing Saturday morning around 2:00 AM near Lees Summit in Missouri. I'm hoping the rain won't start around then but what time do you anticipate the rain starting?? Thanks.
Shawn
Shawn,
If it is going to rain it would be after sunrise on Saturday.
Gary
Posted by: Shawn at June 16, 2006 2:39 PM
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