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 June 15, 2006

Blog troubles and update

Good morning everyone,

We haven't received a comment in over 24 hours, so I believe something is wrong with our system. Please be patient while we get it fixed. There is a chance that it could take until Monday to get this problem resolved. Hopefully we will get it fixed by this afternoon.

The weather pattern is still strange. It is trying very hard to settle into summer, and at the same time we are in the part of the pattern that produced our coldest weather during the winter season. The battle will eventually be won by summer, but let's see how the next two weeks pan out.

We have been tracking a weak storm that may close off and sit near the area for a few days. A capping layer is moving in today and Friday. This cap gets eroded away by Saturday and with no cap, a front near by, and weak upper level storm widespread convection (thunderstorms) should be the result. Below is the 60 hour forecast for total rainfall ending Sunday. A lot of rain forecasted for a large part of Kansas. Something still seems wrong and it will be amazing if this rainfall forecast verifies. Maybe it will shift a bit east and we will get in on it this weekend. It will depend on where the front ends up stalling, if a storm actually develops and closes off in the upper levels, and how much moisture gets pulled into the system.

GFS rain 60 hours valid Fri night through Sunday.gif
Click to enlarge (Precipitation forecast Friday night through Sunday)

After this moves by all kinds of solutions are out there in the models. As I said it is a battle between summer trying to settle in, as it should now, and this colder high amplitude part of our pattern still going on, although it is now an extremley weakened state.

The overall pattern that has been cycling since October, but I believe it falls apart and ends by early August. So, this horrible pattern that we have been in doesn't have much life left. It is still there now, however. Hopefully it has something in it to produce some excitement for a change.

Until we fix the comments problem you can email us at weather@nbcactionnews.com.

Gary

Posted by at June 15, 2006 8:08 AM

Comments

*****************
I am gonna go camping at Perry Lake this weekend. What percentage are you giving rain on Saturday, and if you are feeling it, what time do you think it will be around Ozawkie, Ks.

Keri,

Let's look at the data today. It should be close enough where I will get a feel on what will happen this weekend. But, not yet.

Gary

Posted by: Keri Worley at June 15, 2006 8:13 AM

************
Gary,
Funny you should mention the blog troubles. I wondered about my comment. We're heading towards Omaha for the day on Saturday and were wondering what type of weather we can expect on the trip? We're leaving early (7 a.m. or so) to go to the zoo and heading back when the kids can't take it any more. Thanks!

Matt,

I am figuring out a quick fix on the comments problem, but it still isn't really fixed.

The front will be stalled through Omaha, but the storm is likely developing south of there. So, there will be some thunderstorms near Omaha Friday for sure, and perhaps into the weekend.

Gary

Posted by: Matt at June 15, 2006 8:29 AM

***************
We are going to Worlds of Fun on Sunday. What are the chances it'll rain on us during the afternoon?

Marlina,

It is difficult to say. The latest data has close to 3 inches of rain here Saturday through Sunday. It could all happen at night, or it could all happen Sunday afternoon. I just don't know yet. This is what we will try to pin down in our forecast by the end of the day. It very well could be dry the entire time you are there. But, keep an eye to the sky.

Gary

Posted by: Marlina at June 15, 2006 11:28 AM

*******************
Gary, I've been trying to enter in the 3degree contest but am unable to do so, the page keeps giving an error saying something is missing but doesnt say what is wrong.
I've got a screenshot of my info entered and of the error message but have not found any way to send it to anyone.
Please let me know how I can get entered into the contest.
Thanks
Robert Hall

ROBERT:
I just did a test entry, and it worked fine for me... perhaps the problem is fixed. Thanks for pointing it out... I will let our webmaster know about the error message.
Thanks,
Jamie

Posted by: Robert Hall at June 15, 2006 10:58 PM

********************
Hottest Day Prediction:

July 31, 2006
4:38 PM

Posted by: Jennifer Dunlay at June 21, 2006 10:33 PM

 
 

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