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Contest, heat, rain, and pictures
Good morning,
The contest continues and we are getting a lot of entries. We decided to make the deadline for entries THIS FRIDAY instead of next Friday . This will allow us to have time to organize all of the entries and start having fun on the air with them. So, if you have not entered please do so by the end of this week. The details are below.
PREDICT THE HOTTEST DAY OF THE SUMMER!
All you have to do to enter, is to submit your guess below in our "comments" section. You need to enter a DATE and a TIME OF DAY to help with a tie-breaker. An example would be: August 21st at 2:07 pm!
Try to be that specific to separate you from everyone else. We have started taking entries... and will continue until the deadline... FRIDAY, JUNE 23rd. No entries will be accepted beyond this Friday! Don't forget to include your contact information... we won't publish that part... but we will put you in our contest database. One entry per person, please!
Now back to our weather situation.
The latest NAM and GFS have the axis of heaviest rain right through our local region. I still have big concerns that something will go wrong considering what has happened lately. At this time of year it can get very wet, but at the same time most July's have rain three or four times and when you get it you usually get a lot. The rest of the month is often dry. So, as July approaches we must take advantage of these situations. I am acting like we have control over this which we don't.
Below is the 06z data from the GFS and NAM. Both have quite a bit of rain here, especially the NAM.
Click to enlarge (GFS forecast Wed-Fri rainfall)
Click to enlarge (NAM forecast Wed-Fri rainfall)
Summer begins Wednesday morning at 7:26 AM. And, the pattern wants to become dominated by the "anticyclone", or the high heights aloft that is often centered over the southwestern United States over its favored summer position. Right over the deserts. Summer will begin with the flow coming out of the north and northwest so let's hope we get the rain this week. I will have it covered on tonights weathercasts. Now to the dog and baby show below. Jeff Penner and his wife stopped by over the weekend and Skyler met the dogs.
Windy, Stormy & Breezy on a photo shoot, it was hot
Windy lying on her new bed (she is 16 years 7 months old)
This is a Gel-Pedic bed given to Windy....very comfortable!
Jeff Penner's baby Skyler getting a Stormy kiss
Windy giving Skyler a kiss too
I must say that it is dangerous to have dogs give the baby kisses. Windy and Stormy have always just naturally gone up to baby's and kissed them. Please don't allow your dogs to do this unless you really know your dogs well. Breezy, for example, is afraid of the baby and we didn't even let her get close. Maybe some day, but not if the dog is nervous.
Have a great day! And think rain!
Gary
Posted by at June 20, 2006 6:34 AM
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Gary,
Today (June 20th) will be the hottest day of the summer at 4:33pm.
Dave G.
Dave,
It was headed towards the hottest day so far, but the morning clouds runied that.
Jeff
Posted by: Dave Gruner at June 20, 2006 6:40 AM
Hi! Weather Team, My guess is July 30, 2006 at 4:00 p.m. I really enjoy the photos. Thank You for the work you do.
Posted by: Lisa at June 20, 2006 7:07 AM
My guess for the hottest day is 7/29 @ 3:45pm.
Jeanie Swartz
Posted by: Jeanie Swartz at June 20, 2006 7:46 AM
Hottest Day Prediction
July 29, 2006 4:22pm
Chris Kelly
Posted by: Chris Kelly at June 20, 2006 8:19 AM
OMG...All the babies, both human and fuzzy are so adorable!!!!
I'm going to send my husband out to do a rain dance. And I don't want to take a second mortgage out to pay the water bill :)
My daughter says the hottest day will be July 17th at 2:47pm so I'm going to enter that.
Contact info:
Donna Mason
Posted by: Donna at June 20, 2006 8:27 AM
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This forecast brings out the "Dog" in me. I don't have a reason for believing this, as the NAM and GFS say otherwise, but I am convinced the "dome" or the "tong split" or other metaphors of folklore will somehow prevent getting as much rain as we need. In fact, as usual, I am sure the east side will somehow get left out again. But, it looks good on radar and is fun to talk about!
Scott,
The latest NAM still has about 2 to 3 inches of rain by Friday. This will be another interesting week, and yet another disappointment, or maybe it will come together for us?
Gary
Posted by: Scott at June 20, 2006 8:38 AM
August 15th @ 3:54PM 104 degrees
Posted by: Michael at June 20, 2006 8:39 AM
I think that the hottest day of the year will be Wednesday June 21 and the high temp will be 102 at 2:16pm
Posted by: Kathy at June 20, 2006 8:46 AM
Hi Gary I think the hottest day of the summer will be July 20th at 4:04pm.
Thanks
Posted by: Todd Maddox at June 20, 2006 8:47 AM
Posted by: Tracy Reinertsen at June 20, 2006 8:50 AM
Hottest Day Contest:
July 18, 2006 @ 2:54 p.m.
Posted by: Kenzie Prince at June 20, 2006 9:05 AM
I predict the hottest day will be July 11th at 5:15pm.
Posted by: Brad at June 20, 2006 9:25 AM
HOTTEST DATE AND TIME
AUGUST 11 AT 4:58PM
Posted by: David Jonas at June 20, 2006 10:24 AM
Hottest day:
August 29th, 4:17pm
Posted by: Joe Theobald at June 20, 2006 10:26 AM
Hottest day:
August 9th, 4:12pm
Posted by: Chris Theobald at June 20, 2006 10:28 AM
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Gary,
First of all - I loved the pictures! Now, will (should) any of the activity on the radar this morning make it to Blue Springs? It still feels nice outside right now - do you still think it will get really hot today? I have to say, our weather has just been unbelievable! It is keeping you on your toes! :) Have a great day!
Kristi,
Yes, this is amazing. Maybe tomorrow.
Gary
Posted by: kristi at June 20, 2006 11:15 AM
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Game on!
Hottest day: August 13th, 4:27pm
Kristi Haley
Posted by: Kristi at June 20, 2006 11:20 AM
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It's raining!...or should I say sprinkling heavily just NE of Lawson. Sure wish it would last for about a day or two ;o)
My vote for hottest day of the summer is July 11th, 3:37pm.
Posted by: Jody at June 20, 2006 11:47 AM
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Dear Gary, I think that the hottest day of summer will fall on July 15th 4:36
Posted by: Mitch Beller at June 20, 2006 11:56 AM
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I made a huge mistake. Can it be changed? I realized that I typed in 9:05 a.m. if wanted 5:05 p.m. Sorry. I understand if it can't change.
David,
We changed it.
Gary
Posted by: David Pollard at June 20, 2006 12:13 PM
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Gary,
Whats the severe weather potential, if any? Or are we just looking at rain intensive thunderstorm complex's? By the way, the dogs look great, wish I had a dog like the ones you have. Good Day!!!
Jeff,
When the thunderstorms first develop there could be some severe weather, but otherwise just big rainers.
Thanks for the kind comments about the dogs.
Gary
Posted by: Jeff at June 20, 2006 12:40 PM
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My guess is July 23rd at 3:00 pm!
Katie Hansen
Posted by: Katie at June 20, 2006 1:04 PM
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I'm going to the T-bones game Thursday afternoon...will the rain hold off for the game. I love you Gary!!
Pam,
Thursday will have a tough time being dry, but you never know.
Gary
Posted by: Pam at June 20, 2006 2:42 PM
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Instead of naysaying, I'm going to think rain.
Rain. Rain. Rain. Rain.
Someone try to revive the optimist in StormDog.
Shawbo,
It better rain.
Gary
Posted by: Shawbo at June 20, 2006 2:50 PM
Hottest Day.
August 15, 3:30 PM
Robert Khoury
Posted by: Bob from Lawrence at June 20, 2006 3:41 PM
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Gary,
How much rain do you think will fall in Lee's Summit? How high is the risk for severe weather around Kansas City this week? Also wanted to tell you that I loved the Dog pics! You have wonderful dogs!!!
Jacob
Jacob,
The potential is there for 1-2" of rain. However, the way things have been going .25" to .50" would be nice. The severe weather threat is low as the flow aloft is not that strong. Thank you for the dog picture compliments.
Gary
Posted by: Jacob at June 20, 2006 3:43 PM
HOTTEST DAY OF THE YEAR CONTEST - ENTRY
My prediction is JULY 14TH...4:05 PM
Thanks
Posted by: Danny Banderas at June 20, 2006 3:54 PM
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Why no faith in the models Gary? What factor is present on the ground (in the air?) that the models aren't predicting? I wanna believe it will rain. Have you thought of a drought picture contest? See who can show the driest looking photo? That would be fun.
Thanks, you guys are the most fun too watch!
Tim
Tim,
It is hard to trust the models as they have showed rain here before and been wrong. I will admit the set up for Thursday does look promising, but lets see how it really sets up. It should rain a decent amount. There aren't really any factors in the ground or air as I believe what os happening is a bout of bad luck. It is raining just fine 50-100 miles in all directions around us. If this keeps up we will have to start a drought picture contest.
Gary
Posted by: Tim at June 20, 2006 4:04 PM
Gary,
Thank you for posting the comments about people making sure they know their dogs' behavior before allowing them too close to young children. It's important people realize that they have to take a role in monitoring their pet's behavior.
Posted by: happy penguin at June 20, 2006 4:12 PM
My guess:
July 27th, 3:39 pm.
Posted by: Dwight at June 20, 2006 4:53 PM
July 21st @ 2:30pm Hottest Day
Posted by: Steve Stuke at June 20, 2006 4:55 PM
Gary- just saw your pet pic, same as on the blog, Windy on her new squishy bed. You mentioned it was made here in KC- What was the name of the company again? Where is it available, do you know?
I am going to guess the hottest day of the year will be 09 Sept 06 at 5:17pm.
Don't know what contact info you need so
tooti roe
thanks
tooti
Posted by: tooti roe at June 20, 2006 5:34 PM
Hi Gary. Our family thinks the hottest day will be August 12th at 4:05 PM. Keep up the great work!
Posted by: Colleen Couch at June 20, 2006 5:39 PM
August 12th, 5:02pm
Jeri Correll
Posted by: Jeri Correll at June 20, 2006 6:01 PM
Hottest Day guess for Darrin Moran:
August 8th 3:47pm
Posted by: Missy Moran at June 20, 2006 7:11 PM
Hottest Day guess for Missy Moran:
July 20th 2:32pm
Posted by: Missy Moran at June 20, 2006 7:12 PM
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Here's the winner...August 22nd @ 4:22 PM.
Thank you!
Posted by: Bobby at June 20, 2006 8:03 PM
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August 12th - 233pm
Posted by: Kathy Carey at June 20, 2006 8:15 PM
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GARY-
I LOVE YOUR DOGS. THEY ARE ALL SMILING AND HAPPY. I'M SURE BREEZY LOVES HER NEW HOME. THE "SKYLER" PICTURES ARE SWEET.
I HOPE WE GET THAT 3 INCHES OF RAIN. WE ARE REALLY DUE! I'M HOPING FOR ONE BULLSEYE RIGHT OVER US!!
I HAVE BEEN A FOLLOWER OF YOURS FOR YEARS AND ALWAYS LOOK FORWARD TO YOUR FORECAST.
NOW I CAN READ IT EVERY MORNING ON THE BACK OF THE SPORTS PAGE AND GET UPDATED ON CHANNEL 1442. THANKS FOR ALWAYS KEEPING US INFORMED.
SUSY
Susy,
Thank you for the kind words.
Gary
Posted by: susy hensler at June 20, 2006 8:26 PM
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Hi Gary & Weather Team !
You guys actually are the best! I Looooove the BLOG -- please keep it up. I'm a daily visitor -- the URL is in my favorites.
My guess is: July 27th at 16:44
------------ gspring
Posted by: Gary Springer at June 20, 2006 8:33 PM
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Sept. 9th - 4pm
Posted by: Ramey Carey at June 20, 2006 8:34 PM
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Gary, my guess is August 18 at 5:28 pm. I'll even put a number to it, 104.
GREG:
Good luck! I really hope there are not TOO many triple-digit days...
Jamie
Posted by: Greg at June 20, 2006 9:55 PM
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Gary,
I am picking July 30 at 4:24 p.m. -- my son's third birthday. On days like today, however, I'm looking forward to picking the first measurable snowfall.
Matt
MATT:
That sounds refreshing! Good luck!
Jamie
Posted by: Matt at June 20, 2006 10:14 PM
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Hottest Day: July 27 3:22pm
Posted by: Bill at June 20, 2006 11:02 PM
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I think the hottest weather will happen around the last two weeks of August so I predict 8/18/06 at 4:11 p.m
p.s. Maybe if you act like you don't want rain, it will!
Nick R.
NICK:
Booo for rain! ;)
Jamie
Posted by: Nicholas, Rau at June 21, 2006 12:41 AM
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Gary & Jamie, Looks like the NAM has the bullseye W/NW of us, and the GFS has the bullseye just to the south of the metro for the heavy rain. Which model do you have more confidence in?
Thanks
Tim in GW
TIM:
It is hard to say which model is handling things better. The NAM has been pretty bad this year, though. We will have an update tonight at 5, 6 and 10pm.
Jamie
Posted by: Tim in Greenwood at June 21, 2006 6:49 AM
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I think that the hotest day will be July 25th @ 3:54Pm.
Cute pics of the dog kisisng the baby.
Dottie
Posted by: Dottie Haack at June 21, 2006 8:32 AM
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I think the hottest day of the year will be August 26th at 545 pm. Thanks and have a great day.
THANKS, PAUL... YOU, TOO!
JAMIE
Posted by: Paul Ferguson at June 21, 2006 9:03 AM
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TO RAIN OR NOT TO RAIN THAT THE QUESTION BE
Alas The ragin storm of the past I rememberth. From My mind I recall the events. They were the days of Old. For this period of time the soothsayer a tale to tell. For on one hand the cyrstal ball doth say the rain to playth again. On the other hand doth say Nervermore.This indeed a Tempest in the Future to see. For this event it Driveth me mad. It causeth me Doubt. This setup happen it should indeed. AW but the player the spin it addeth. For if this event happen a flood bring foth it could. At points a tempest rage on it could. The wind bloweth quite Strong it could.Alas A question it doeth bring forth.
TO RAIN OR NOT TO RAIN :: THIS TO BE THE CLOUDY QUESTION.
Steve Newport
De Soto Kansas
Posted by: Steve Newport at June 21, 2006 9:30 AM
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my guess for hottest day of the year will be August 13th at 15:38
GLENN:
Thanks for you vote!
Jamie
Posted by: Glenn Metheny at June 21, 2006 9:30 AM
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Let's shoot for 8/21 at 3:45 p.m.
Posted by: Dave Hosick at June 21, 2006 10:21 AM
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Sept 2 @ 3:50 pm
Posted by: Ladd Epp at June 21, 2006 11:34 AM
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Gary,
Thank you for not agreeing with the models 100%. So many forecasters "Model hug," and take what the models say as gospel. First, there is only one gospel! :-) Second, the models are just a computer spitting out information.
Ok, I have to be honest. Because rain has been in the forecast so many times, and because so many times we have had no major rain at least in the metro area, I simply don't beleive the forecast. It is not you, it is just a fact of life. I know a couple of times I have said you have hyped the forecast, but I realized it is not you as much as it is others, especially NWS. They are already worried about heavy rain, and with the dry conditions, I just don't think that will be a problem.
Anyway, let us see how this thing sets up! I have my doubts.
Later,
Brian - Overland Park
Posted by: Brian at June 21, 2006 11:40 AM
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I have a guess for the Hottest Summer Day... August 17th at 3:07pm
Thanks!!
Posted by: Aaron Lenig at June 21, 2006 1:54 PM
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My hottest day prediction:
July 25th @ 3:22 p.m.
Posted by: Trish at June 21, 2006 2:12 PM
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What happened to a blog entry for today, 6/21? This is one of the longest I've seen here.
JERI:
We will do a blog entry soon... we have been looking over the new data this afternoon.
Jamie
Posted by: Jeri Correll at June 21, 2006 4:12 PM
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I predict the hottttttest day will be August 10th at 4pm.
Keep up the awesome forcasts.
Kim
KIM:
Thanks for playing, and good luck!
Jamie
Posted by: Kim Anderson at June 21, 2006 5:11 PM
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We say the hottest day will be August 15th at 4:13pm.
Ryan and Christi Beck
St. Joseph, MO
CHRISTI & RYAN:
Thanks for playing... stay tuned!
Jamie
Posted by: Christi Beck at June 21, 2006 11:27 PM
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Hi Gary & Weather Team!
Just wanted to think you guys for all the hard work. I love watching you all on tv and reading the blog. Hopefully we can get some good rain in here soon so I don't have to water my lawn!
Gary, I love seeing the pics of the dogs and hearing updates on them. They seem so happy!
I am guessing the hottest day to be on my anniversary, July 26th at 3:37 pm.
Thanks again,
Tonya Lepert, Lee's Summit
TONYA:
Thank you for the nice comments, and for playing our hottest day of the year game! Good luck!
Jamie
Posted by: Tonya at June 22, 2006 3:01 PM
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Hottest Day of the year!!
My Guess is August 24 at 4:00pm!
LORNA:
Great guess... thanks for playing! :)
Jamie
Posted by: Lorna at June 22, 2006 3:46 PM
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Hi, Gary and Jamie! I follow your weather reports from Memphis cuz my bestest friend is in Kansas City! I'm so glad that the rains came--good, beneficial rains!
I would like to enter my guess for the hottest day of 2006: September 1 at 4:58 p.m.
KATEY:
We are so glad to hear you stay connected with us in KC! Thanks for playing!
Jamie
Posted by: Katey at June 22, 2006 11:31 PM
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Here is a last minute guess for the hottest day of the summer. Sept. 2 at 3:36pm!!!!Have a great summer weather team.
Rick
RICK:
We are glad you made it!! :)
Jamie
Posted by: Rick H. at June 23, 2006 5:51 PM
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