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I recant my earlier call for a restoration of Storm Dog's faith. The doppler estimate proves his theory. There is a force field around Kansas City and it hates rain and all things filled with joy.

Le sigh.

SHAWN:
Actually, Dog's force field theory really was for Blue Springs... but he got over an inch of rain today, so he's somewhat happy! :) Too bad for the hole's shift, though...
Jamie

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Hi Jamie,
We had 1.85 inches of rain since midnight here in Lee's Summit. We had about .20 of an inch with the storms that came in around 12-1am, and then the rest of it this morning and afternoon.
My yard was in dire need of it!!!
Thanks,
Michael

MICHAEL:
Thanks for the report, we are glad to hear you got your much needed rainfall!! :) Almost 2"... that's pretty good!
Jamie

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.63 inches at 145th and Antioch in OP today. Rained from about 10am to 2pm.

JOE:
Thanks for your rainfall amounts. That's pretty good for that part of OP, as the Northwest part of Johnson County didn't get much.
Jamie

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Hi Jamie - 1.41 inches here - let us hope other folks get relief soon. If I could wish something, it would be that my doglets desires (for chews and bone-bones) would be as well met as the folk who want rain and thunder is...ALAS...But let us hope late July and August surprise us. My thoughts are with those who did not receive rain today. Ah well, when will a generous and excessive rain fall over ALL OF KCMO???
Dog

DOG:
Glad to hear you got a good soaking in your neck of the woods! We will see what happens... there are some interesting rain chances showing up waaaay out on the GFS. That would seem to fit with the colder part of our pattern... but we will have to see how it really sets up.
Jamie

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Came home from work and only .5 inch near Ward Pkwy Mall. Nothing last night. Drats.

None of this stuff going on out west right now is going to make it here tonight?

HANK:
No that stuff will miss us to our southwest. Too bad. But didn't you get in on some of the heavy rain back on June 11th... with that one very potent cell?
Jamie

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I'm a bit confused as to how it's physically possible for it to rain everywhere surrounding the dry area, but not in the dry area? Did the rain split? Did it decide it was in a bad mood and wanted to skip us? How how?

HP:
Most of the rain to the WEST and NORTH of the dry patch happened overnight. The stuff SOUTH and EAST happened during the day. So there was no real "split"... just two separate areas of rain... with a dry spot in the middle.
Jamie

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Hi Jamie, good news and bad news for me... Grain Valley got some GREAT rain! My wife even recorded some of it for me, bad news was.. I was at work out in westwood ks! lol Maybe it's me?!?! Rain is just avoiding me personally. lol

DAVE:
Too bad you didn't get to enjoy it! But at least your lawn is happy! :) Thanks for the info!
Jamie

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Good Evening, Jamie

I think your frowny face circle is priceless..simple but accurate. That hole wavers and shifts a bit but all in all..we can't pop the cork over the metro and let it come down here. Watching this much moisture again do the cha cha around us is mind blowing..Jamie..did you see the radar this afternoon in Missouri, the statewide view?? the whole state was virtually covered. How does that rainfall area march past us in the immediate metro and leave a trace to a 1/4" ?? truly unreal.It's past speculation..this pattern is flat out bizarre. My hope lies now in the ol " wow..didn't see that coming " scenario finally putting down some widespread water, because every other tangible scenario for a rain set-up has failed.
Robert

ROBERT:
I was wondering if anyone was going to notice the little face :) Hopefully we will have a few more rain chances in the coming weeks... as you can see... some places still need the moisture!
Jamie

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I think 7/29/06 at 4:32pm because that is the date me and my family are going to Worlds of Fun.

STEPHANIE:
The fast rides should provide enough wind to cool you off! :)
Jamie

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Hi Jamie,
Unless the water evaporated from my rain guage sometime today, we got 0" here in Gardner :( Unbelieveable....Any clues as to what caused this hole in the rain pattern?

HI, TERRY:
Gardner was in a bad spot this time around. The overnight rain went mainly west of you, and today's thunderstorms were pretty much east of you. So it wasn't really a "hole"... but two misses on either side.
Sorry,
Jamie

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Jamie,

Can you do me a favor? Can you explain in detail what was going on in our atmosphere that caused a "dry slot," over the KC metro area? My gut tells me it was the path of the storm. But why does this happen so often.

We cannot call the forecast a bust because some people did receive a healthby amount of rain. However, this pattern, that is where the rain goes around us, misses us or whatever has become a broken record.

The thing is, Overland Park had some good rain this morning, but we did not receive near the amount we need.

The other thing is you did a great job forecasting this storm. For one thing you said the last night that path of the storm would make a difference where the heavy rain would fall. Yes, your forecast was accurate because some areas got rain. I think you said that 90% chance of rain means that there is a 90% chance EVERYBODY will see SOME rain. In that sense, your forecast was right on, because I think most everybody saw something, and perhaps 10% saw nothing.

What I do not understand and I will never understand this: This morning NWS was forecasting heavy rain. Why do they always over-hype the forecast? I realize they have to warn us, but what data did they have that said there was going to be heavy rain? Didn't they look at information that would have given them another clue that it was not going to happen?

I knew this morning it was not going to happen because we did not get any rain last night (in Overland Park.) This morning when I woke up, I could tell it was not going be heavy rain just based on this crazy pattern, and what was on radar. What cracks me up is I don't even have a degree in meteorology, yet, I knew that the KC metro area was not going to see heavy rain. What is up with that? LOL.

We need to do some kind of rain dance!

Have a GREAT evening.

Later,
Brian

BRIAN:
Thanks for the nice comments... but you should not dis the NWS so much... they are good people!!

And as for the "hole"... like I said before... it was not really a hole. The rain did not split around us, but two separate areas of rain just missed that spot. I would say the speed of the upper wave had everything to do with it. A little slower, and the timing could have been perfect for those counties to see the band of heavy rain that fell from Lees Summit to Blue Springs.

Jamie

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Jamie

I had .7 on an inch in my rain gauge in Raytown. The best news is that now I'm going to have to start mowing again, the yard was almost into a state of dormancy where it was not growing. What a drag. If it is not too late I'd like to pick August 8 at 4:22 PM as the hotest day of the summer.

JASON:
We put you down for Aug. 8th. Have fun mowing! :)
Jamie

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Hi Jamie
After getting almost a half inch of rain the night before last here in Louisburg yesterday's rainfall was less than two tenths, that was a strange storm system.

JIM:
Thanks for the rainfall update! Glad you at least got something!
Jamie

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Yeah, but that was 11 days ago!

HANK:
Sorry... a few more chances are showing up...
Jamie

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This seals it for me. No need for a roof at Arrowhead, Mother Nature has it under control with the natural shield over the metro. I am still convinced without any scientific backing that large metropolis areas throw up some type of mojo that deters storms. I know heat islands are to encourage them, though..it doesn't seem to be working here. Its almost like a perma-cap preventing storms...more research on this topic.

Thanks.

SCOTT:
Aren't you in Lees Summit? Didn't you get a good soaking there?

It is too bad dowtown KC missed out again, but I don't think the heat island effect had anything to do with it. I mean if that were the case, it would be happening in every big city in the country.
Jamie

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Jamie - The 12z GFS (you know how I feel about models) is a bit tantalizing days 6-14 IF it verified. It appears to be signalling a NW flow with MCS activity, with KC on the eastern side of the ridge, and it is that cold part of the pattern, with an anchored upper-low over the Great Lakes.

The questions are:

1. Will the BSHE reassert itself?
2. Will there be richer moisture available
to feed complexes and allow them to not
"fall on their swords"
3. Is the GFS for real this time, or is it
out to lunch?

We shall see...

Dog

DOG:
It totally fits with Gary's weather pattern theory! We are going into the cooler part of the pattern... will it be wetter? We'll have to see how it plays out!
Jamie

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maybe I'm showing my age but I remember my dad talking about the Tonganoxie split....maybe that's why we're missing the rain. It all either goes north or south of us!

GRETCHEN:
Yes, the infamous Tonganoxie Split! :) That really doesn't exsist... but you would never know it by looking at the past few rain events!!
Thanks for posting!
Jamie

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ut oh! I see this turning into a east vs. west argument here.. It wasn't but less than a week or so that Johnson county was getting a huge storm and us on the east side got nothing.. And now that we on the east got a good soaking, those on the west side of town are mad...and Jamie is stuck in the middle! *sigh*
:)

DAVE:
Haha... soooo true! :)
Jamie

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Yea... I don't see why people are getting all worked up! I am thankful for rain when I get it, and I try to be pretty patient when I don't! We all know you don't have control over any of it!
sara

SARA:
Thank you for being patient. It's fun to get excited... but I like to keep the blog positive, if you couldn't tell! :)
Jamie