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 August 28, 2006

Clouds & Cooler


TODAY'S NUMBERS:
HIGH: 74
LOW: 63

It was sort of nice today to NOT have to worry about heavy rainfall! We had clouds around for most of the day... and that kept it cooler than average around the area. Tonight, our slow-moving upper level Low is visible on satellite imagery:

aug 28 sat.gif
Click to enlarge

That Low will slide southeast... and just pass Kansas City to our Northeast. Here it is on the NAM/WRF:

aug 28 nam 500.gif
Click to enlarge

We expect Tuesday to be a lot like Monday weather-wise! We should see cloud cover for a good part of the day... maybe some light showers... and cooler temperatures. We have been going back and forth trying to figure OUT the temperature forecast... and we have decided to go with low-70s in the afternoon. It COULD be in the upper 60s, with enough cloud cover... but we think the sun will come out at least a little bit (much like it did today)... and that would boost temps a bit. We'll see, I guess...

Then the sunshine should be back for Wed-Friday... along with 80-degree highs! We haven't had much time lately to discuss what is now TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO... but let's take a quick look at the latest from the NHC:

aug 28 ernesto.gif

AT 800 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED JUST INLAND OVER EASTERN CUBA...ABOUT 30 MILES... 45 KM...EAST OF CAMAGUEY.

OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS ERNESTO HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 11 MPH...19 KM/HR. HOWEVER...A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TONIGHT...WHICH WOULD TAKE THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION OFF THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA INTO THE ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AFTER THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WATER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

Notice where the remnants of Ernesto are forecasted to be! What's left over of this storm COULD be in Ohio over the holiday weekend! That would change our forecast for KC... so it is something we will have to watch through the week. I really HOPE Ernesto is NOT over Ohio, because I am going to be there!! I am taking a week off to go visit my family. Gary is back tomorrow, and will keep you updated!!

Have a great week!
Jamie

Posted by at August 28, 2006 9:30 PM

Comments

*************
What effect could Ernesto over Ohio bring? More rainfall?
--------------------
Marlina,

Ernesto may affect parts of the eastern seaboard, but it will have a very minor impact on our weather. It may affect the pattern a bit and that is all.

Gary

Posted by: Marlina at August 28, 2006 10:53 PM

 
 

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