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 September 8, 2006

Weekend forecast

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The above map shows the surface conditions at 6 PM Friday evening. Wow! The seasons are changing now. It will be interesting to see where this front stalls. A lot of rain will occur near where the front stalls combining the energy from a series of weak upper level disturbances from the west. After the main disturbance moves by Sunday night or Monday morning the colder air will arrive. We have been thinking 60s for days now. So, Monday and Tuesday should be in the 60s if not cooler.

There will likely be a few rounds of showers and thunderstorms with this set up through Monday. I feel confident that we will all have more than 1 inch of rain by Monday and there is the potential for a lot more.

After this goes by the entire weather pattern majorly changes. The jet stream is dipping further south and things are starting to move. More on this during the next week.


Posted by at September 8, 2006 7:27 PM


Hello Mr. Lezak,
What are the chances of rain for tonight? Expect any strong storms this weekened.

I am not anticipating any strong thunderstorms, but I do expect it to rain by morning.


Posted by: Ben Tracy at September 8, 2006 7:36 PM


I think the models are indicating a big change might occur after day 7. The latest GFS at 174 hours develops a potent low pressure area along the Red River Valley of North Dakota. The models have been hinting at this, and their is cold air with the system. The Eastern Pacific Ridge may be in place extending into Canada. A pattern like this is "usually" colder than average for the plains, especially during winter.


Yes, but this pattern has nothing to do with the pattern that will be setting up in a few weeks. It is still somewhat exciting.


Posted by: Devin at September 8, 2006 10:55 PM


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