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Falling temperatures this morning
Good morning,
A cold front moved through the entire area by 6 AM and temperatures are falling. It is in the 30s from north central Kansas into Nebraska. It could drop that far today but I expect it to at least fall to 43 degrees in the next few hours. There is some light rain or drizzle, but nothing really significant is expected today as the jet stream is right overhead. We really aren't in the quadrant for any lifting.
The weather pattern continues to evolve. By Saturday a deepening trough will bring another cold front our way. There is some potential for a few snowflakes across parts of Missouri Saturday night, but just like today we aren't in the right position to have any significant precipitation so the chance is small. Let's see how this looks later today. It is looking a bit different every few hours.
Gary
Posted by at October 18, 2006 6:38 AM
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This is killing me. I thought I saw the SMC die..and I am still believing that - kinda. But..this is the BIG FRONT with cold temps, and my cycle had another front just east of us 84 hrs out. Sat....yikes!
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Scott,
No, Yikes on your excitement over the SMC.
Gary
Posted by: Scott at October 18, 2006 10:10 AM
Meanie. Imagine the excitement of a budding meteorologist 25 yrs ago that first discovered a unique yearly recurring cycle from Nov to Summer.
;-)
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Scott,
I already have put myself into your shoes. So, I will be patient, but the SMC is over!
Gary
Posted by: Scott at October 18, 2006 1:36 PM
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Gary,
These allergens are still giving me trouble... Any chance of a killing freeze (27 or 28 degrees) downtown KC anytime soon?
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Drew,
I don't see any 27 degree reading soon. We may have to wait a few weeks.
Gary
Posted by: Drew at October 18, 2006 1:38 PM
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Hello Gary,
I was wondering what your take is for Saturday?Also is there any sign of any mild warm up like 60's.
Thanks for your time,
Anne
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Anne,
It looks like we will be in the 60s the next two days. So, we will still have our ups and downs.
Gary
Posted by: Anne at October 18, 2006 3:16 PM
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To me is seems that the storm that came through is weaker than what the models were predicting, even the wind dosen't seem as strong as I thought it would have been, It was drizzly and windy for a while but it has settled down now. What do you think?
Do you think that this will be the same thing with the next storm on Sat. or is it looking alittle different?
Thanks for your time.
Nick in St. Joe!
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Nick,
This last storm did about what we expected. And, we just missed a lot of rain to our east. This cold front never looked powerful, so I am not surprised at all with today's lack of wind. It was up to over 20 mph, but not much more.
Saturday doesn't look that much different, but if it lines up right we could see our first snowflakes.
Gary
Posted by: Nick Rau at October 18, 2006 3:20 PM
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Gary -
Meant to tell you a few weeks back what a "treat" it was to hear you comment about Dr. George & the "cut-off" low. We lived in Thousand Oaks for many years before returning to the midwest two years ago. We love the fall, hate the humidity, enjoy an occassional light snow, and miss the "nohumiditynomosquitoessameoldweatherpatterns" of So. Cal.
At least here, you don't have to worry about making temperatures up in your head to make the forecasts a little more exciting.
Keep up the great work!!!
Doug & Peg
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Doug & Peg,
I used to make up my own weather games growing up in Southern California. Now, let's just have an exciting winter....please!
Gary
Posted by: Doug at October 18, 2006 4:15 PM
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Gary,
i cant belive that it is snowing in Nebraka. Nebraska is only about 3 hrs.away. why does it not reach us?
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Jeff,
It is a different world up there most of the time. A little bit colder makes a big difference.
Gary
Posted by: jeff at October 18, 2006 5:20 PM
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In enjoy this web site and blog but being in northern Colorado, don't get the opportunity to watch your TV broadcast.
Just wanted to let you know that we (Fort Collins) received our first measurable snowfall yesterday and last night - about 2" here but much more in the mountains (the mountains have received a few good snowfalls so far). I expect the temps to drop down well into the 20's tonight - so a taste of winter.
Last year I do not recall having any weather like this until December, and even then the snowfall was a pittance. And about a week and a half ago we got about 1" of chilly rain. The front range of Colorado is prone to fall snowstorms, but I wouldn't think your first snow would be that far away - time will tell. Don't storms that hit you often regenerate out of the lee side of the Rockies?
In any event, I'm keeping my fingers crossed for a more active weather pattern in the year ahead. You just don't know what weather pattern we will eventually settle into, but at least what I'm seeing now is more encouraging than last year at this time.
Best
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Doug,
There is a lot of hope! Let us know when you get a nice storm. We may get a bit jealous at times though. I have some friends that live in Boulder and they fill me in on the upsloping snow events. There certainly hasn't been many of them lately.
Gary
Posted by: Doug at October 18, 2006 5:31 PM
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It must have been just me imagining it would be stronger a.k.a. wishing:)
BTW On the 5pm weather cast you said that you were not sure why they were changing the end of Daylight Savings Time, I think it was because the government thinks that it would help the country save energy with the sun staying up a little longer for those few weeks.
Thanks for your time.
Nick in St. Joe!
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Nick,
I thought that was the reason, but does it make any sense? Why change it at all? No one I know has ever complained about the current system. The government over doing it I think.
Gary
Posted by: Nick Rau at October 18, 2006 6:06 PM
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Gary - Sorry so late, but you know why kinda by now - between the 14th and 16th, Blue Springs received 1.51" at my gauge, non-thundery as far as I could tell, but I didn't care - nice to get a good soaking for a change.
You all can have snow, but the Dog forbids Ice- Ice kills trees and makes for other nasties. Give me either snow or just rain thank you.
Later,
Dog
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Storm Dog,
Nice to hear from you! I think most of us agree with you. Snow is better than ice!
Gary
Posted by: StormDog at October 18, 2006 6:31 PM
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Temps look to warm for the snow over the weekend dont they?
Any sign of even a few flurries?
Snow Creek opening early this season?
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Ben,
We will have to watch it closely, but it is too warm to snow until the very end of the chance of precipitation.
Gary
Posted by: Ben Tracy at October 18, 2006 9:51 PM
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Gary,
It looks like the models are developing a trough in the Pacific with storminess in the Gulf of Alaska after the weekend front. Then, the storm track might gradually shift south as colder air develops in northern Canada. Right now, the temperature anomalies in Alaska and most of Canada are much above normal.
Seeing the Greenland block and the polar vortex setting up shop early is something that we have not seen much of in previous winters.
Devin
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Devin,
Something very different is happening, but don't rely on the models right now. They are different every few hours. Let's see how it sets up from day to day.
Gary
Posted by: Devin at October 18, 2006 10:58 PM
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