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Evening update....thunderstorms forming...snow?
Good evening everyone,
The NAM model has come out and has a slightly further north solution and perhaps some snow Wednesday night and Thursday morning. A major snowstorm could occur close by and we may be on the edge of this.
Let's see how it looks on Wednesday, but there is a slight trend towards a more wintery solution.
Thunderstorms and heavy rain have formed along the Arctic front. So, this storm is about to produce again.
This storm isn't missing us, but the snow part of it will be close.
Gary
Posted by at November 28, 2006 8:34 PM
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Gary...I just looked at the Eta and the GFS and noticed the more northern solution as well...we can hope that the models are coming into an agreement on the low digging toward us....we are due for a good snow...hope is on our side, but that's about it. What are your thoughts?
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Corey,
Oh yes, there is hope. But, we still have to see if this trend contineus and see what the new GFS shows. I will be on tonight at 10 PM right after the GFS comes out so I have to be careful.
Gary
Posted by: Corey at November 28, 2006 8:45 PM
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Gary-
Thank god it is starting to trend further to the north. Im going to have to pray tonight that this trend continues..Even if we only get an inch or two, it would be really nice to see some snow. Let's just wait and see what happens...By the way..845PM and the rain has just started here at 130th and State Ave in KCK.
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Bryan,
Get those positive thoughts flowing. There is hope.
Gary
Posted by: Bryan at November 28, 2006 8:45 PM
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Gary...I have links to certian weather maps...but what are the links you look at most? I'm sorry if you've posted them before.
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Chris,
These two sites:
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satellite/
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/
Posted by: Chris at November 28, 2006 8:50 PM
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Hello Mr. Lezak,
Is there a chance that it may get down to freezing before tomorrow evening? (Afternoon hours)?
How does it look for the cities north and west of the city, say, Leavenworth?
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Ben,
I think the freezing line will make it to Kansas City around 5 PM, so two to three hours earlier for Leavenworth.
Gary
Posted by: Ben Tracy at November 28, 2006 9:01 PM
Gary...New model is better. Hopefully GFS will be too!! Still in the ballgame. Apreciate the frequent updates today as the situation approaches. Fingers still crossed.
Matt Maisch.
Posted by: Matt Maisch at November 28, 2006 9:17 PM
I live in St. Joe and wonder what it looks like for us up here. It seems like everytime KC gets snow we are left with the dusting. I hope the freezing rain holds up till 4 or so?
Posted by: drew at November 28, 2006 9:29 PM
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Gary-
When does the GFS model come out exactly?
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Bryan,
The GFS starts coming out four times a day around, 9:40 AM, 3:40 PM, 9:40 PM, and 3:40 AM.
Gary
Posted by: Bryan at November 28, 2006 9:38 PM
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Will the front come through much earlier than expected? Am I reading into this right? Gave up on snow, watched the KU game, got ready for bed... decided to check your blog again. Ye goodness. Gimme some snow.
Posted by: hank at November 28, 2006 9:38 PM
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The front blew through here at Smithville with about 55-60 mph winds and a heck of a downpour. Temp. dropped about 15 degrees in a matter of seconds.
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Posted by: Richard at November 28, 2006 9:57 PM
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Gary,
An update from your neighbor to the west (Colorado). It has been snowing here in Fort Collins since this afternoon, and getting colder (22* at 9 pm). Hopefully this snowstorm is headed your way...
Doug
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Doug,
It will be close.
Gary
Posted by: Doug at November 28, 2006 10:05 PM
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If I buy into the models, NAM and GFS and the SPC SREF...I think this will come a bit further north than what is showing. From others points this year, we have seen a southern dip to these shortwaves, only to catch the north half of the comma head... I have faith its coming. Ithink we will catch a mix of ice and snow.
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Scott,
Oh my! I have been saving the satellite loops since October 1st. I will show them at the bloggers meeting. Jeff picked out this storm that we are now having. It occurred on October 16th and 17th. That storm is this one's weaker twin brother or sister. It ejected out and the comma head made it to between KCI and St. Joseph. NO WAY! YES WAY! So, if this takes the same track then we are in it.
Gary
Posted by: Scott at November 28, 2006 10:16 PM
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Gary,
You're probably on TV right now doing the news, can you give an update before you head out of the studio? I am in MSP this evening and can't see your weathercast until it gets uploaded likely tomorrow sometime!
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Tim,
I did an update just for you.
Gary
Posted by: Tim in Greenwood at November 28, 2006 10:20 PM
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Gary,
I have recently moved back to wichita ks and unfortunatly for me, reading your blog seems to be the only way i can get an accurate forcast.... That being said, does this storms track give me any sort of measurable snow fall for wichita ks??? I realize that is an out of viewing area question but i thought i would give it a shot.
Thanks
Jeff
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Jeff,
Just like here in KC, Wichita is on the edge. If this storm is coming out further north you may see an inch or more.
Gary
Posted by: Jeffrey Geer at November 29, 2006 1:38 AM
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