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this is a cool idea, I like being able to access the latest and greatest weather data.
thanks!

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Thanks for stopping by! We are swamped today will do our best to keep everyone informed on TV and the internet.

Jeremy Nelson

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Gary,

Can you give us a timeframe for all of this activity? We're trying to decide if we need to cancel our 6pm event for this evening.

Thanks.
Emily
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Emily,

It depends on where you live. The snow should begin by this afternoon and continue tonight. The roads were a little slippery this morning...so the snow will add to the problems.

Jeremy Nelson

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Gary,
I have never seen so much in the way of model uncertainty hours before a winter storm. The model inconsistency is making everyone frustrated. I am still hoping for decent snow totals, especially south of the Missouri River.
Devin
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Devin,

The models are always a bit different before a storm(even this close to the event). The wide range of snow totals that the models are putting out is the tough part...a 50 mile shift either way will make a HUGE difference in snow totals.

Jeremy Nelson

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I am watching it like a hawk. I got down on my knees and prayed. I live out in Lee's Summit. I really want to use my new snow blower that I only once last year. Please! Please!

Hans OUT!
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Hans,

The chances of more than 6" of snow are much greater towards Lee's Summit are areas just SE of there. You will get to use your snow blower...don't worry.

Jeremy Nelson

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Snow very close to KC at this hour just hope it comes in soon!

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Charles,

The radar is a bit misleading. The leading edge and very near it is not reaching the ground. The snow needs to overcome some dry air before the snow will start reaching the ground.

Jeremy Nelson

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This is driving me bonkers!!!! :) I know you guys must be going crazy as well. Hoping for lots of snow in Johnson Co, KS! Thanks for keeping us updated!!!

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The storm hasn't driven us nuts...just the computer models. Now that the storm is beginning to show its face it looks like some good snow for the area. As long as the dry air is overcome you will see plenty of snow.

Jeremy Nelson

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Jeremy, welcome to Kansas City! Hope you got settled in during the past few weeks of calm weather, cause the fun of challenging forcasts is just beginning. Does it look like East of y'all, the Warrensburg Higginsville area, is gonna be hit hard? Last night Gary painted a picture with the heaviest band right over my house. My gut tells me the I-44 corridor will be hit the hardest with just an inch or two for us. What say you?

Fayetteville Jim
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Jim,

Gary's thinking from last night is looking to hold true today. After a nervous time this morning the snow totals look to be very close to Gary's forecast from last night...maybe a little less...but not too much. Really...what is the difference between 6" versus 8" or 10" versus 12". Any amount of snow of 2"+ will cause major headaches on the roadways. Keep in mind the air temps are in the teens...so this will be very fluffy snow...which piles up fast!

Jeremy Nelson

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Gary,

Jeremy just said that the dry air needs to be overcome. That is like the biggest enemy of these types of storms. It gets us everytime. I am not going to hold my breath. I just hope we get something out of this! You are doing a WONDERFUL job!
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Brian,

I mentioned that the dry air needs to be overcome...but that is the case with almost every storm. The initial precip. evaporates as it falls because the column isn't saturated. This will occur today. I brought this point up because some people are getting excited looking at the radar. The radar LOOKS like snow is on the west side of KC. But in reality the snow likely won't begin until this afternoon because of the dry air. The column is being saturated to our southwest...this is proven by the snow reports coming out of Kansas. So yes we need to overcome the dry air...but the process is underway.

Jeremy Nelson

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Jeremy, my parents are visiting this weekend from Sherburn. They plan on leaving tomorrow morning. What is the farthest north on I-35 that you see the snow reaching? Liberty? Cameron? Bethany?

P.S. If you won the free throw contest in Sherburn prior to 1985, I probably was there running it.
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Joe,

The snow may reach St. Joe if the current trend continues...but they will likely see around 1". It was in probably 1989-91 time free...I guess we just missed each other.

Jeremy Nelson

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Jeremy

Welcome to the lower midwest!!! To be a meteorologist here, your middle name must be houdiny!! Now you see it, now you don't!

LOL

Leonard
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Leonard,

Houdiny was from close to my last weather job...I think his museum is in Appleton, WI. The snow will show itself this afternoon thru tonight. Everyone needs to be patient...good things come to those who wait.

Jeremy Nelson

Jeremy Nelson

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Hi Jeremy,

So are you saying as of this moment right now, it looks like KC will get a significant amount of snow? BTW... I live in Linwood, KS - what's it look like for me?

Thanks,
Carrie
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Carrie,

Considering our recent past winters...3" or more would be pretty significant. The metro will see significant snow.

Jeremy Nelson

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Worst storm in the Kansas City area in History? That sounds very sensational and misleading don't you think? I don't mind a weatherman missing a prediction or having variables change, but these kinds of ratings grabs make me mistrust the weather and the local news all together.

jlrobson2002@yahoo.com
Jarrod
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Jarrod,

We should wait for it to happen before making a statement like that! You are correct, but I didn't do it to just grab ratings. I wish I could take that statement back. Let it happen first. It still could happen.

Gary

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Is this still looking to be a 10"+ event for KCI area and up towards east of Smithville Lake?? Thanks, Richard

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Richard,

10" is not likely at KCI...but possible in the southern Metro.

We will keep you updated all afternoon...make sure to tune into NBC Action News!

Jeremy Nelson

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Once again all hype from the weather dept. Scare everone into closing down for the day and once again nothing....Its the same thing every year. Brett and Gary should be appologizing to the public left and right on every broadcast for the next week

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Scott,

Let's wait and see how the storm plays out. The 12Z GFS gives downtown KC 1.02" of liquid. Last night Gary mentioned that the heavy snow would not occur until late Thursday.

Thanks for your take...

Jeremy Nelson

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Do you have any update on the weather conditions?

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More good news...if you like snow. Wichita is reporting heavy snow and Emporia is reporting moderate snow as of 12 noon! And the snow continues to track NE! Please report any snow start times to the blog.

Thanks for all the comments and positive thoughts. Gary will be in around 1pm.

Jeremy Nelson

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So when did the last runs of models come out? I know we had one at 8 AM and that is when Gary said he thought it might miss us all together. Is it looking like we will still get a good amount of snow based on the new runs?

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The 8am NAM run scared us a bit...but the GFS run and the current trend on satellite and radar are VERY promising. Keep thinking snow!

Jeremy Nelson

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Jeremy:

I was just going to report that!!! Snow in Emporia!!! It also appears on radar that the northern edge has expanded further North-if this is the trend, then Gary's St. Joe line is spot on!!! Welcome to the area!!! In reality, as I'm sure you know, winter weather is tough to come by here-I told Gary and I really believe this: forecasting winter weather for the Topeka/Kansas City corridor has to be one of if not the toughest jobs in the contenental US-too many things can go wrong-dry air, wobbles, warm air getting pushed into the upper layers....almost impossible to get a handle on!!!! Again, great job by you guys-you stuck with it and even this morning said there is still a chance this would hit even with the Nam solution. Please try to ignore the negative comments-you guys have a tough job this time of year for sure!!!!

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Thanks for the feedback. If anyone has snow pictures from this storm, please email them to Gary or the station!

Jeremy Nelson

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Jeremy and Gary:

One of your competitors is predicting 4" downtown with the snow starting around 3:00.

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There is already light snow and flurries in parts of the western metro. 4" could happen, but we feel there will be more in downtown KC.

Jeremy Nelson

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Sorry to blog again-but first flakes just starting to fall in Lawrence-I'm on the very Southwest part about a mile from Clinton Dam-it is lite, but there is white falling from the sky!!!!!

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Bill,

Thanks for the update.

Jeremy

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Just wanted to report flurries in Grain Valley! YAY flurries

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It takes one snowflake to start a snowball...or something like that:)

Jeremy

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Hey Jeremy, I was wondering what's the timeframe that the snow is supposed to hit? I have class tonight in Belton and was seeing if I should even make the drive.

Thanks

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The heaviest snow should occur between 6pm and midnight. Keep in mind that the wind will also be very strong!

Jeremy

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Light snow falling in Platte City very light

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Charles,

Thanks for the update...keep the snow reports coming!

Jeremy

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Light snow beginning in Holden about 30 minutes ago. Snow is coming down pretty fast but flakes are very small with a handful of large flakes mixed in here and there.

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Thanks for the report. Keep them coming.

Jeremy

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I am listening to 98.1 and they say the snow advisor has been dropped and everyone in the listening area will get 2-5 inches if any, does that seem to be what should happen. I live in Raymore so hopefully I will be on the 5 side.

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Heavy Snow Warning is still in effect...I just checked. The warning will be kept or changed by the NWS by 3-4pm. That will be the next advisory update. But regardless of what advisory is in effect...snow is on the way. Get ready for poor road conditions for late today and tonight.

Jeremy

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Jeremy - What do you see happening in Olathe over the next 12 hours - I have some anxious boys at home?

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They wiill have some snow to play in by this evening. By Friday morning likely 6"+ in your neck of the woods.

Jeremy

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Jeremy,

My co-workers and I were wondering when we should leave work. What time do you anticipate the snow accumulating and creating poor road conditions?

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Ask your boss:) The snow should pick up by late afternoon. We may see a period of flurries to light snow over the next 2 hours. But the steady snow is not far away.

Jeremy

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Jeremy,

What do you see the totals for Shawnee being?

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Hopefully around 6". Although it could be 1" higher or lower. That's how it looks at the moment. New data comes out between 2-3pm.

Jeremy

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Jeremy,
The snow is coming down hard in Lawrence and it's all blowing SIDEWAYS!

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Fantastic news for snow lovers!

Jeremy

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The ESP images give the appearance that KC Proper will be right in the middle of all this. Is the storm moving back North as Gary predicted last night?

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It looks VERY good! Our forecast should work out. Gary will update the blog within an hour.

Jeremy

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It just started snowing in Merriam!!

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Thanks for the update!

Jeremy

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There are snow flurries in Merriam.

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Keep the updates coming!

Jeremy

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We have flurries downtown now!

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Good news!

Jeremy

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first snowflakes falling in KCK about 1 mile west of I635/Metropolitan intersection!!!

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The snowflake contest will end...now is a question of the exact time!

Jeremy

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Just saw a few snow flakes on the PLAZA!

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I better go outside and look.

Jeremy

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Do you think Olathe/Overland Park has a good chance to see more than 6" of snow?

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Gary says yes...but more data is coming in between 2-3pm. It looks good right now.

Jeremy

Hey Gary...9 INCHES at 97th and Nall in Overland Park and it's still coming down. WHOOOOO HOOOOOO!!!!

Jennifer and Kelsey
(mom and daughter who watch you religiously)