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Has Jaime Jarosik gone somewhere else? Joan
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Jamie called me on Christmas Eve. She was tracking Santa at her new job. She is now in her hometown of Dayton, Ohio. We tried to convince her to stay here, but he mom won out in that conversation. We miss her a lot!

Gary

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Holy Smoke Gary,
That is a very nice looking storm on the models. Unfortunately I know it will change. We couldn't be that lucky to get that much rain and then have it transition into that much snow! Please tell me it fits into the LRC? Anyway, Merry Christmas to you and all of your team. Don't work to hard today!
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Mike,

It better not take the same track as the last storm. If it does then we won't see much snow.

Gary

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Gary,

Merry Christmas! Wanted to pass along i'm spending the holidays at the Inlaws in Farmington, MO (1 hr. S of St. Louis) and we have a light snow falling! Again, you were right about KC missing the snow -- with it falling to the east of KC -- which it ended up doing!

Have a great day. Can't wait to get back to KC for the possible huge storm towards the end of this week!

Tim in GW (Farmington MO)
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Tim,

At least you saw some snowflakes on Christmas!

Gary

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Weather Team, Once again I am NOT trying to stir up exciment,but this stament has me curious, "So, let's see how it trends, but there could be a major winter storm over parts of the plains by Friday and Saturday." When you say "plains" wich part of the plains are you refering to. If this means Kansas City Area,(also the Northern part of the city that has had no snow.), could the possibilty of a snow storm--10" total (example) happen. I know this may not make sense, but the real question is, Could we see a major snow storm here in KC?
Merry Christmas!
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Alden,

The upper low would need to track south of us and this is something we will be watching. The trend is to be further north again.

Gary

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Happy Holidays to the entire Staff!!!!
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Bill,

Thanks, and happy Holidays to your family as well.

Gary

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I am a little concerned about the temps on fri and saturday. I hope the storm will draw colder air into the area, or else we could be looking just at rain, I hope the cold air will be in place by the time the storm gathers up strength. If the cold air is in place they are saying it could be a major winter storm. In the weather models how can you tell about temps? How do you find out if the air will be cold enough is the temperature information on the NAM,GFS,ect? I hope we are in store for a major winter storm!!!
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John,

The temperature information on the models works fairly well, but keep in mind that a further north or south track will completely change that temperature forecast. This is where you, the forecaster, can decide which way the storm will go.

Gary

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Merry Christmas to all at KSHB!

Hmm...a New Years Weekend storm. I am not sure what to wish for because I know many people will be traveling. But perhaps if it hits Friday into Saturday, that will not hamper to many travel plans. We shall see! I will not hold my breath. Today is Monday, manythings can (and will change) between now and then. It would be cool if you called it now though. Most folks would not do that!
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Brian,

I don't like the trend in the models. But, it is too early to make the call.

Gary

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Merry Christmas, Gary. Hope you and everyone at KSHB had a great Holiday!
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Walt,

Thank you for the holiday greeting!

Gary

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Gary
Its early, but as of now....i think it will be hard to get any snow out of this system. There just seems to be too much warm air advection shooting north out of the Gulf to overcome. I certainly hope this changes as i am DYING for another storm with SNOW not rain, even though we do need it. It just depresses me when i see this heavy rain coming down and can only think about what it would be like if it where snow instead!! Ugh....i will try to keep hoping for SNOW out of this system!

Thanks for all of your hard work!

Adam Penney
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Adam,

You are probably right, but let's see how it looks as it gets another day closer.

Gary

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Merry Christmas Gary! Hope you had a wonderful day....

The Johnson Family
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Thanks Janine,

I did have a great day!

Gary

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Gary, the emc site shows the map of the 20th of Noveber having the exact same features as what is being projected for this weekend. In November, nothing happened. At all. Same pattern. Crazy. I like seeing the Jan 6-10 storm showing up now. Looks intense. Hope it brings in the arctic. It should.
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Scott,

Once again......we must get something to block up a bit and Arctic air will have a chance of building. It never really happens with this pattern with the exception of in about two weeks when it did last time through the cycle, but it only blocked up for about a day. This is not really considered blocking, so it will be interesting to see how the pattern evolves in the next two weeks.

Gary

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Gary:

Good Morning-I hope you had a great Holiday yesterday-I know you worked, but I hope it was good!!! Mine was great-luckiest guy in the world!!! Awesome out this morning-clear skies, lower 20's-beautiful outside-clean crisp air!!! I love it!!

I'm still eyeing events for later this week-latest model gudience does not look real good for us in this area as far as snow. If I am reading this correctly, this is another cut off (gudence has it take like 5-6 days to cross US!!)very similar to the one last week-it would make sense for it to take a track similar to the one last week-I am not real surprised by the nothern trend in the gudence.
However, all that being said, as you have alluded to many times here, we are still 72 hours out and still almost 24-36 before the storm even gets onto land-alot will change (at least I hope it changes a bit to the south!!!) so this is being created by what the computer models think will happen based on data at 4:00 A.M. this morning-it is a guide!!! It is def. a storm to watch as any change in the track will have huge implications on sensible weather. This (and there are many!!) is one time I would not want to be in your shoes sir-I know it is exciting, but I can see many hairs pulled out trying to figure out where this will go and just what should be put out on TV

It does look like that snow aside, we will get some decent rain again-I'll take it for sure!!!!

What do you know, long winded again!!! Have a great day and good luck with this storm-it looks to be a tricky one!!!!
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Bill,

I don't have much more hair to pull out. It is too bad we don't have any cold air near by. We can still hope that this storm tracks further south, even though this is not the trend of the moment.

Gary