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What a week!
Finally some exciting weather this week! It seems like the snow has avoided me ever since I experienced that 272" snow total in Marquette, MI in 2000-01. On Wednesday I moved to a temporary residence by KCI for a couple of weeks. So what happens...the place I was living at in Overland Park received 6" of snow on Thursday, while I didn't see a flake where I moved to! Maybe snow lovers in the northland will kick me out soon!
It was nice to have some excitement at work after experiencing very 'boring' weather conditions for the first month I was in Kansas City. Thunderstorms, freezing rain, sleet, and snow made for a great week! So far I've been blown away at the reponse towards our blogs. Gary told me I would be impressed, but during the height of the storm on Thursday we received 2-6+ blog responses a MINUTE. We really appreciate when you write in to tell us what is going on in your backyard. For example...the radar looked like it was snowing near KCI last Thursday. Obviously we can look at the automated weather station there, but many other communities around the area do not have the automated equipment. So a big thank you for being our eyes across the metro and beyond.
Now to this weeks weather. It can be summed up in one word...DRY. Little to no moisture looks to be available this week for the fronts that will be moving through the region. A cold front passed the area today, and all it brought was a wind shift and some scattered clouds. The chillier temps will be felt on Sunday with highs in the 20s. After a brief warm-up early this week another front will sweep through in the Wed/Thursday time frame. Once again this looks to be very dry. Once we get past next weekend the weather should become more active again...but it is much too early to tell where the lows will move.
One final thing. I had a very unique opportunity this past Friday morning to do a live cut-in during the Today Show. Matt Lauer tossed to me and I did a quick wrap-up of what the storm brought the region. It's always great to see Kansas City get a little national exposure!
Enjoy the rest of your weekend and we'll talk again soon!
Jeremy
Posted by jnelson at December 2, 2006 4:03 PM
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Jeremy, per the SMCv.2 [let me know if you need info on this] and what I understand of the GRC, it will be becoming more mild and dry until about Dec. 10th. From the 10th-20th it will be a bit more active again, specifically the 10th and 15th. [I think]
Nice work thus far, and nice opportunity with Laurer....
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Scott,
Please pass along any weather info., I will be more than willing to check anything out. We are thinking of the same week that it should become active again...around December 11-17. The one tricky thing this week will be when winds turn south. Will low clouds/fog form and reach KC? Other than that pretty boring.
Jeremy
Posted by: Scott at December 2, 2006 7:28 PM
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Congradulations on the live cut in on National T.V., and on getting through your "initiation" with this last storm!
Those satellite pictures are cool, but they would have been even cooler if the white path was shifted about 100 miles further north:)
Thanks for your time.
Nick in St. Joe!
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Nick,
In time everyone will see a good snow event this season. December is only our 3rd snowiest month on average. So the snowy months are still ahead of us!
That is one of the sharpest cut-offs I've ever seen on a visible satellite picture.
Jeremy
Posted by: Nick Rau at December 2, 2006 9:10 PM
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Hey Weather Team:
Question: What causes the snow NOT to push further north. Is that just the northern edge of the storm? Why cannot more develop? Afterall, there are clouds that far north right? That was a VERY SHARP cut off. Oh yea, I live in Overland Park, and we recevied about 6 to 8 inches throughout the city! Yup, you missed it by going north!
I kind of home we have more storms like that one all winter, but for the entire metro. It kind of would have been cool to experience a foot in a half of snow like I did when I was a kid growing up in Michigan. Then again, I do like our witners here compared to Michigan. They are not near as LONG. I lived in the southern part of the state, but I know what you are talking about with the U.P. They have one day of warm weather on the 4th of July. LOL. Ok, just kidding! Great Job guys!
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Brian,
Thanks for the question. There are many reasons that snow may not push north. A couple of things worked against us this past storm. The upper low moved a bit further south than was forecast(only about 40 miles). Also, high pressure to our north was ushering in dry low level air...dew points were in the single digits. The radar showed that there was snow aloft...so the low level dry air and the low moving a bit further south combined to keep the snow away from the northland.
It looks like the U.P. of Michigan will get 1-2 feet of snow in the next 4 days. Two clipper systems will move through the Great Lakes. The second clipper will push a cold front through KC by Wednesday. Behind the front highs will retreat to the 20s.
Jeremy
Posted by: Brian at December 3, 2006 8:39 AM
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Todays Forescast is hsowing Fridays forecast -- Not Sundays
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Thanks for the note. Please go by the 7 day forecast that begins with Sunday. I'll discuss this with Gary later today.
Jeremy
Posted by: Hamons at December 3, 2006 9:23 AM
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Welcome to the Kshb team, Jeremy!
I was even closer to the snow line (Weston). However, the cold temps allowed us to put plenty of snow down out at Snow Creek. With the reenforcing shot of cold air mid week, we should have enough down to open Snow Creek by the 16th! Right on schedule. We are one of your weather sites so we appreciate when you use the Weston sight and even like it more when you say that it is out at Snow Creek. Ask Gary about this. We have been working together for many years.
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Sorry you missed the snow...but at least you have the cold air in place for making snow. Even with daytime highs in the 30s/40s early this week the overnight lows will be in the 20s. I hope you have a great season. I'll ask Gary about the Weston-Snow Creek reference.
Jeremy
Posted by: David Grenier at December 3, 2006 10:09 AM
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Yah! Well is the pattern dry then active then dry etc.? I don't really like those temps above freezing. By the end of the week there will only be the piles of snow left!!
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Andrew,
The snow will melt slowly this week. Highs will be above freezing on Mon/Tue. Keep in mind that a majority of the day/night is at or below freezing though. If you live in an area that saw 6" plus of snow...that won't go anywhere for a little while.
Jeremy
Posted by: Andrew at December 3, 2006 12:56 PM
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Jeremy, The pattern is cycling back to the Gulf of Alaska low/ Eastern Pacific Trough. This is the worst possible pattern for the plains because downslope flow sweeps across much of the northern plains and prairies of Canada. I expect to see very little cold air and snow for a while if the models are even close to being accurate. I wonder if KCI will receive any snow at all in December?
Devin
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Devin,
The pattern looks quiet this week...but should be more active in days 10-14. I would be shocked if there was no snow in December. Keep in mind our averages highs continue to drop into mid-January. So even a 'warm-up' this time of year may only push highs into the 40s. Also, not all people are like us and want snow. Thanks for checking in and we'll continue to track the pattern.
Jeremy
Posted by: Devin at December 3, 2006 3:33 PM
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I just got back from a vacation to Africa. We stayed abreast on the weather here at home during our trip through your guys' blog. Thanks to your blog, we weren't surprised when our flight home was delayed due to the winter weather!
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Marlina,
Thanks for checking in during the storm. I'm glad our forecasts helped. The blog response was super! 2-6+ comments a minute on Thursday!
Jeremy
Posted by: Marlina at December 3, 2006 4:51 PM
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Hi - Just thinking back over the Oct-Nov time-frame, it appears to me that the weather action has occurred in the last half of the month (after the 15th of Oct, and the big one, the last days of November)- This dog wonders if the last half of December will offer some goodies (at least one). I prefer rain, but any moisture will certainly be welcome after the prolonged dryness the last year or so. Time will tell anyway.
Dog
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The next 7-10 days look very dry. After that things should become more active. That would be in the December 15-31st time frame as you mentioned. Gary will discuss the weather pattern coming up early this week.
Jeremy
Posted by: StormDog at December 3, 2006 8:15 PM
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