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Interesting weather. Ups and downs. But at least it is Kansas and Missouri weather. I am hearing down the pike from a couple of other sources, but haven't looked at extended maps as I am learning to read them, that a stronger snow chance may appear the week after next. I think you are right on Jeremy by calling it a hybrid clipper. Oh after I had blogged yesterday around 5 p.m. here in Berryton we had light snow around that time frame. Thanks, Michael/Topeka

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Mike,

Our focus is on the snow chances this week. We'll keep an eye down the road, but the chance of snow this week is getting our attention right now.

The next arctic front will likely produce a few flurries Monday evening, much like the front over the weekend.

Jeremy

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Weather Team,
I have heard of a possibility of daytime highs in the single digits by early next week? Is that true??? HOPE SO!

Jacob

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Jacob,

Single digits would take a snow pack and the coldest of the air to decend upon KC. Overnight lows may be in the single digits above and below zero the first week of February...but daytime highs?

I'm not sure where you heard that...but we are tracking the cold air and will continue to update the forecast for the possibility of highs in the single digits the first week of Feb. Thanks for checking in...

Jeremy

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Jeremy:

Good Eevening!! Still holding steady at 23 here in Lawrence-winds are from the south-will be interesting to see how low we go tonight!!

I just wanted to say thanks for responding to my entries on the Blog-it is greatly appreciated-I sometimes get way to excited and throw some random stuff out there-thanks for being patient!!! LOL

The Water Vapor imagery is really cool tonight-looks like a giant hammer out in the Pacific with that ridge and a low up towards Alaska-I also noticed-I think???-that the sub tropical mositure off the Pacific is once again comming in across the Baja/Mexico and trying to make a move North-will be very interesting to see how all this plays out this week-it could be really fun to watch it all eveolve-wonder how much work I'll get done grading and preping classes this week...??

Hope things are going well with the new baby and try to get some sleep!!! LOL-have a great night and thanks again!!!

Bill in Lawrence

P.S.: No matter how the next week all plays out, it does look very good that we will wind up with about a sold month stretch of winter this season-more than you could say about the last two winters combined!!!

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Bill,

The cold air headed our way for late in the week looks pretty impressive. We may have some snow on the ground then...so we may have to drop temps below zero(at night) if that occurs. If you love winter you should love the early part of Feb..

Jeremy

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One thing to note about this cold snap is even though so far its not the coldest air of the season, it is able to produce low wind chills, so far this season if we have dipped to less than 10 above, it was on CALM nights, with this it is able to dip near the single digits with the potential of a rather stout breeze(such as Tuesday morning), so wind chill wise I bet it is already in the running for the coldest feeling weather of the season so far.
Thanks for your time.
Nick in (still cold) St. Joe!

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Nick,

Great point! Wind chills will be below zero again on Tuesday morning. The next 7-10 days look interesting from many standpoints.

Jeremy

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Ok...Jeremy, here is what I see. Wednesday would fall inline with Dec 20th. Looking at the 500s for that day than for Wed, pretty similar. One big difference is the SW vort that is out of position on the models...for whatever reason, it does not advance the shortwave to catch the front. But..then on the next few frames, it does attempt to drag it through. Ok. So a bit of a change up here...I think the polar push is going to squash this vort a bit. I think we may get some light precip. But..if the vort digs or finds some strength..yup...nice position for some snow. Fast forward to Feb 5th. That would be the Christmas storm. The GFS is underbuilding that ULL..as usual. Will have to keep an eye on it.

Cold enough? Bet we get some snowpack to drop it down...

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Scott,

A quick look at the 00Z GFS gives KC a little less precip. on Wed. and little to no snow on Friday. It does push the colder air farther south...so Gary and Brett may be lowering temps in the extended tomorrow. I'm still not sold on the storms completely missing us. It seems the cold air is usually a bit delayed in reality comapred to what the models show days out. I don't know the exact LRC cycle...so Gary will address that early this week when he breaks down the pattern.

Jeremy

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Good Morning Action Weather Team!!!

Quick check in-clear and breezy in Lawrence this morning-temps. in the lower 20's-wind has shifted to the west north west and are beginning to pick up-gives today a bit of a bite!!

Welcome back Gary and I hope you had a restfull couple of days-you have def. returned to what appears to be an interesting 10 days-for the cold if nothing else!!! We are really having a winter!!!

Water Vapor Satelite imagery to me is an interesting view: 1. you can see the second cold wave moving down. 2. you can see the moisture trying to head north but getting pushed back south by the dives of cold air. 3. you can see the ridge off the western US Coast growing northwards but about to get hit by a strong storm. I just think this is an interesting picture to kind of see what is occuring-if some of that tropical Pacific moisture can get over the top of that cold air we could have some fun-just need a lift!! Can we get lucky??? Just my random observations that I hope make some sense!!!

Have a great day everybody!!!!

Bill in Lawrence

P.S.: I am excited about the cold-hoping to take my boys to a local lake Sunday and build a big fire, roast hot dogs and hang out on the dock/ice by the dock (I mean real close to the dock!!!)!!
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Bill,

Are you serious about going to the lake and having a big fire? This is like living at the North Pole, maybe this is what you want to experience. The ice may still be thin.

This weather pattern just is not behaving the way it could. Just a small difference here or there and we get a significant snow event. But, it isn't showing up yet.

Gary