*********
Its nice to see Breezy progressing. Provided there were not any injuries or missing limbs, I think that was a tremendous success to Breezy!

That said, Mother Nature is not participating as I have requested. This should be a fun little storm to watch, and the cutoff piece is a little odd.

Hopefully, I can get down south before this gets here, and drive back up after it passes.

As I will be gone, it is not allowed to snow.
---------------
Scott,

I have been through what you are going through as you get ready for a trip.

Good luck!

Gary

*************
gary,
good pic's.
I hope we can get some snow on thursday. i think this will be our last chance till next winter. have a good day, ryan.
-------------------
Ryan,

The new data is about the same as the old data.

Gary

***********
Sigh - NWS -

THEN WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES...AND A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS SITUATED FROM AROUND KANSAS CITY TO NEAR
MACON...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE VICINITY OF THIS
BOUNDARY. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ALONG WITH PERIODS OF HEAVIER RAIN. THE RAIN
MAY LEAD TO MORE FLOODING PROBLEMS ON AREA RIVERS.
-------------
Scott,

It is a fast mover and then you can relax on the rest of your trip. Once again, the threat of severe weather, but perhaps also a threat of snow. Both threats are slight at this moment.

Gary

****************
Yet another state climatologist has been rebuked because he doesn't toe the line on anthropogenic global warming...it's a dangerous precident. I wrote about it a lot this morning (click my name below) and hope it gets more attention in the coming days.

**********
Gary-
Congratulations to you on Breezy. I watched her on a newscast one night where she was with the trainer and interacting with children. She is doing a great job!! You should be very proud.
You mentioned something about if the storm comes down a bit more to the south. I live out in your neighborhood and I'm wondering what exactly does that mean. I'm not ready to let go of winter yet and I am still waiting for a big storm and another snow day. Is this the end or do you think there is another chance in mid to late March? You mentioned something about more cold air building up in Canada. Will March go out like a lion or a lamb?

Susy
------------
Susy,

Let's worry about the exact track of the storm on Wednesday. I will cover it tonight in the newscasts, but the exact track will be unknown for a while. There is a trend further south is all I can say right now.

Gary

**********
That is wonderful news that Breezy is coming along great with her training!
-----------
Marlina,

She truly is showing progress!

Gary

******************
Hi Gary:

I hope we get some snow out of this storm.. One last snow storm would be greatly welcomed by our kids.. Breezy and Stormy are just adorable!!!

Wendy
Overland Park
---------------------
Wendy,

We have a chance from this storm, but the Arctic air in Canada still has my attention for sometime in March.

Gary

*******************
Gary, if you don't mind, what workout routine are you using. I hear you mention your workouts on the air and how much you enjoy working out. I heard you mention 100 reps once, are you doing that now?
-------------------
Mike,

Today I actually did a combination of the 100s with other things for my chest. I have a trainer and he really pushed me today. We started with 100 reps of incline press. I did around 60 reps, then he added wait, then about 14 more, then more weight, then I got to 84. Then more weight until I finally hit 100. Then we did flat bench fly's, then flat bench (3 sets of 33), and cable fly's. I will be feeling this for days.

Gary

***************
Wow 4 more inches up to the north? It looks like the people who live to the north are catching up on their snowfall this year and us to the south are being left out.not that we have not had a lot of snow this year. well lets hope it goes further south!
-------------
Brent,

Yes, but near KCI is still getting missed.

Gary

*******************
Gary that is great news about Breezy. I am sure you are proud of her! I looked at those storms on the GFS too as I am slowly learning how to read those maps. I hope it doesn't snow though becuase I have a meeting in KC in the early afternoon on Thursday. The moisture sure has been great. We could come out ahead for the year. Do you think that with your LRC that there could be a greater cycle on a decade or longer period? I know that with the LRC that every year is different and I agree 100 percent, but as I am doing this snow research I see cycles similar in naturein groups of 10-15 years. Anyway something to think about. Keep following the storm. Michael/Topeka/Berryton
------------------
Michael,

I am not a believer in the long term cycles, but I really haven't put a lot of thought to it. I just am certain that every individual year is unique.

Gary

*******************
My car will be in the garage until Thursday at 0600. Then it will be outside Wed and Thurs. Looking at this I am trying to decide..do I wash the car or wait until Friday?
-----------------
Jeri,

Wait until Friday!

Gary

*********************
Gary,

My previous posts (yesterday and earlier today) haven't seemed to go through, so I'll post again.

I am wondering how long you feel this year's cycle is. I know you've mentioned 42-46, but do you have a number in mind?

I'd like to look back that many days from this upcoming storm and see how the 500mb charts compare to this event during the last time we were in this part of the pattern and also the time before that, according to your theory.

The back-to-back February snowstorms burying MN (the last with over a foot, the upcoming one with the potential for similar accumulations) are fascinating - certainly a rare occurance as of late. I'd like to see how the pattern theory applies to these two Feburary systems when compared to mid-January and early December - the two cycles previous to this one.
--------------------------
Jake,

The pattern is somewhere in the 42 to 47 day range. This will highly likely continue through July.

Gary

*******************
Hi, just wondering if we are expecting severe weather with this storm? If so when can we expect it? Thanks, Robin
-------------------------
Robin,

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms Wednesday night and early on Thursday. We will see how it sets up tomorrow.

Gary

****************
Gary:

Good Afternoon Sir!!!

Beautifull day today for sure!!!

Well, it looks a little better than it did yesterday at this time-still a long ways to go but maybe snow lovers can catch lightening in a bottle.....

Bill still grasping at straws for one last winter event for winter 2006-2007 in Lawrence
-----------------------
Bill,

The Arctic air mass in Canada is not going anywhere. It has to come down eventually. So, March may have one last very exciting wintery moment.

Gary

******************************
Gary,
It's great to see Breezy growing and learning more.
I know Jeremy had some links for some good weather-info-related sites previously. Could you repost them? There are certainly things that I am learning from your site and would like to pick up on some of the others.
Also, do you plan to have a page on this site relating to various terms and acronyms?
Thanks for all of the great help?
-------------------------
Matt,

I will have Jeremy post them again later in the week. Or he may read this later and add it on to this.

Gary

*************
Minnesota & Wisconsin are looking to get wolluped again. LaCrosse got 21 inches out of the last storm & most of Southern MN got a foot - with another 12 to 18 inches on the way with the storm Weds-Friday. Now that would be just crippling down here.
--------------------
Drew,

It is true that Kansas City would have a hard time with a storm that signficant.

Gary

*****************
Hi Gary
Thank you for your visits to schools in the area. My
daughter, Kristi Mclaughlin is one of the 5th grade
teachers at Chouteau Elementary. I always watch your
forcasts and check online to keep abreast of what is
going on. The children you visited with always need
a special person as yourself to remind them someone
cares. I nearly missed your show last evening but what
a delight. I am checking at this time on Wednesday
outlook.

Barry
----------------------
Barry,

Let them know that their picture is on the blog!

Gary

**************
Hey Gary

Love how you zoomed in on specific parts of the map and posted only them on the blog, instead of the whole US GFS map. Very good idea, would love for you to continue showing maps that way in the future!

Tim in GW
------------------
Tim,

Thanks for the feedback. I will try to do this when it is that specific.

Gary

*****************
I have seen that you have changed the way your models look online. Is this permant or not? Now on to my second and real question. I know you will talk more about this at 6, but when I saw FUTURECAST, it almost looked as if we wouldn't be getting much from this even with the pressure being at 28.99". This may sound stupid but can the pressure go down to 00.00"? It seems that all we will get are some of those possible thunderstorms you were talking about. I hope this is not all we get. However though, I WOULD like to have some sever weather. What do you think.
-----------------------
Alden,

I will go over these things at 6 PM. I will have better time management, hopefully, than I did at 5 PM.

That is a good question. The pressure is 0.00 at the top of the atmosphere. Down here some of the strongest hurricanes go down into the 27.50" of mercury range. But, that is near the lowest.

And, I just posted the graphics that way today. Do you like it this zoomed in?

Gary

*************************
Hi Gary, Just wanted to say hello. This is my first time reading your blog, but I've been enjoying your forecasts for almost 10 years (I moved to KC area in May 1997). You are a beautiful human being! You touch so many lives with your smile, enthusiasm and positivity. Thanks for the warmth you bring into my home and so many others.

Hugs, Kelly
-----------------------
Kelly,

Welcome to the blog! It is always exciting to see that viewers are still discovering that we have this weather blog.

Have a great week and let us know if you have any questions!

Gary

****************
Gary:
I have an answer to Jake's question on how the LRC did in Minnesota in the past two cycles. We have had very little moisture until last weekend. The only other times we had moisture were the Jan. 14th time frame and the Nov. 28 time frame. Both of these work with the LRC time pattern this year. We also had a rain event on Dec.30th which corresponded to a Feb. 5 snow. This is it for moisture this winter. The previous Lrc cycle for the Dec. 30th rain event was in Nov. which was a cloudy but dry period.
A temperature note is this, that early Nov. we were very cold followed by a brief three day warm spell followed by another cold spell. The temps in mid Dec. to late Dec. mirrored this cycle. The temps were not as extreme but were the warm and cold periods in this cycle.
This is one thing that I can say about the Lrc; is that it has your senses alert to the natural cycles of weather around you.
I know what Gary is saying:"Tell me something I don't know"!
Take care and lets see what the next system brings.
Rod in Mn.
-------------------------------
Rod,

Thanks for the great input! I was not saying that....I was like, wow!

Gary

*******************
I missed the forecast , Is the chance of snow any better than this morning. I saw you had a high of only 33 on thursday if it does precipitate, it will be snow
------------------------
Brent,

The high of 33 is misleading. I should make this clear on the air tonight. I think it will be near 55 or 60 for the high around 1 AM, then it will drop to 33 during the day.

Let's see what happens with the new data.

Gary

****************
This is sort of a question to an answer you gave me a while back. Your answer was "THEY POST THE RATINGS AT THE END OF THIS MONTH.". So does that mean that you will post the ratings tomorrow or on March 1st? I would however like tomorrow, but i dont know how it works excatly so it may be March. But, I like February.
--------------------------
Alden,

It is usually a few days later. I am not sure if they officially end the competition tomorrow. I will try to find out. Once we get the final numbers we will let everyone know.

Gary

*****************
Hello Gary,
Just wondering, after this weeks storm do you see any more snow or shall we get ready for spring?
Thank You For the time
Anne
-----------------------
Anne,

I don't see it now, but it is very cold in Canada. So, don't rule it out yet.

Gary

*****************
Hello Mr. Lezak-
I was just wondering if you see an outbreak of tornadoes like last March anytime soon? I sure hope not.
Ben
------------------
Ben,

I doubt it. If Wednesday's storm were to occur a few weeks from now it could be quite significant. We can't rule out severe weather at this time.

Gary

******************
Gary,
What kind of severe weather could we be seeing tomorrow? I just got a new car, and was wondering if I should pull it into the garage.
Thanks
Jeremiah
---------------------
Jeremiah,

Maybe tomorrow night, and the main threat is hail.

Gary

******************
Well more internet troubles, so just uploaded a new browser Firefox. I kind of like the micro pictures you had in this blog no having to click anything,(boy does that sound lazy or what:)) I would use then interchangeably say the small pictures for storms up close and personal and the bigger click-able pictures for showing the larger scale of the pattern. Sounds like tomorrow night and Thursday will be fun!
BTW congrats to Breezy on her accomplishments!!
thanks for your time.
Nick in St. Joe!!!
---------------------
Thanks Nick!

Gary

********************
I'm back, Am I reading this right, 980 millibars on the 00 NAM after it passes us to the north east! How much mercury would that be!?
Nick (Surprised) in St. Joe!
---------------------
Nick,

That would be around 28.95"! WOW!!!!

Gary

*****************
Gary:

Good Late evening!!

Well, it has happened again!!!! I stayed up to see the 0z runs-the 0z GFS is trending in the right direction with the low forming over the Texas Panhandle-still aways to go, but it has def. trended south the last 2 runs.(I think??) The NAM was also further south than previous runs-man, do I dare even hope something freakish can happen here and that this trend continues?? My logical mind tells me this is as far south and east as we get and that the track is prob. closer to the NAM but man if it could just trend another 100 miles..... Looks like places like Concordia, Kansas on this GFS run get a very good snow event from this. Maybe the cold air in Canada and that first Low will have more of an affect and the models are just picking up on it....can I grasp at any more straws?????

The 06Z and 12Z tomorrow will be interesting and more so, watching this on satelite and surface observations of the colder air. Looks to be another strong low for sure-another fun time tracking!!!! Thanks for reading-awesome pictures of Breezy and Stormy!!! Have a great night

Bill in Lawrence
--------------------
Bill,

Yes it trended further south. It is just fascinating that if this would just track across Wichita instead of near the Nebraska/Kansas border then we get a surprise 5 inches here. But, we know what will likely happen. Stranger things have happened though so this is why we keep looking. I don't want this to be our last chance, but I am worried. I wish we had some control over it. Either way, wow what a surface low!!!!!

Gary

*************
Hey Gary!

Noticed the storms to the north of the metro area this morning..and a nice clearing line just to the south of Kansas City..Looks like we have an excellent day ahead of us with temps in the 60s from what Brett said this morning. My question for you this morning is regarding the Severe WX potential..I noticed that the SPC is talking about the possibility of strong Tornadoes possible in Eastern KS and may need to upgrade the area to a Moderate Risk. Do you think this is possible?

Thanks Gary!!

Bryan
-------------------------
Bryan,

Yes there is a chance but overnight. It is rare to have a serious overnight threat of tornadoes. We will have to look at this during the next few hours. The window for severe thunderstorms may be from midnight to 6 AM.

This is a very powerful storm as we have discussed. So, we will be taking this very seriously today.

Gary

**************
Gary:

Good Morning to you sir!! Sitting at about 42 degrees this morning with a stiff East wind.

Well, for a snowlover this deosn't look all that great for here-places North and West around Concordia Kansas up through Omaha look darned good-if it could just some how come in 200 miles further south-I'm a dream weaver....my last straw to grasp: it looks like both the 06Z GFS and NAM intialized the surface low about 200 miles too far east and a bit too far North-current surface observations at 11Z show it over the central Colorado/New Mexico Border-straws anyone....

Thanks for reading and the response last night-I also have a feeling that this is/was our last chance at a decent winter event. The LRC (I think) tells us that we are going to warm up for sure and the models are now in line with the LRC. Maybe the clipper we had on 12-25 could bring us something but by then we are so late in the season...oh well, it has been a great winter!!! This low is going to be a powerhouse and if the bit further track of the 0z GFS does verify we should get some good rain from this-to be honest, while I would love one more big event, the rain is needed so I will take it and smile and be ready for Spring, Camping, Fishing, Swimming, and Home Projects!!!! In the end, the LRC really tells us that it is time for that (again, I think???)!!!!!

Have a great day-will be fun to follow this

Bill fishing pole in hand in Lawrence
---------------
Bill,

As I said l last night this is so close. There is always a chance this will track further south. We will look for a trend today.

Gary

********
Good Morning,

I like the maps, but they could be just a tad larger. Have fun watching the storm today.!
Miranda
--------------
Miranda,

I figured out how to make them larger this morning.

Gary

**********
Hi Gary,
I live in Independence, MO, and I was wondering if my area has an enhanced tornado threat for tonight? Really would love for you to say no!
Thanks
Nicole
---------------------
Nicole,

I wish I could rule it out. This is a very strong storm, but the main threat is still hail.

Gary