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Some Stats to Consider
Good Morning,
As we head into February and more cold weather, here are a few stats to think about.
February 1st, Average High: 38
February 28th, Average High 48
So February is a bit of transition month. But we can still get some very cold air toward the end of the month, For instance, February 2003, we had two days at the end of the month with highs in the teens.
This month is starting off very cold, but will we see a stretch of arctic air like we did from January 25th to February 7th, 2004? For 14 straight days, our highs did not reach freezing. The trend is there this year, we will see what happens.
And one more nugget for you, Climtalogically speaking, February 5th is the snowiest day of the year.
February 5th,
27% of the time we have at least flurries or .01" inches of snow.
21% of the time we have an inch of snow on the 5th.
15% of the time we have 2 inches of snow on the 5th.
February, 2004, 7.5 inches of snow fell
and this year there is a chance of light snow on the 5th.
Click to enlarge,
I'm hoping for a stronger "Clipper system" but we will see what happens.
Have a great day,
Brett
Posted by at February 1, 2007 7:40 AM
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Hello,
Just wondering what Friday and Sunday, any accumulations like this last event. Thanks
Anne
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Anne,
A dusting at best.
Brett
Posted by: Anne at February 1, 2007 7:50 AM
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I am still voting for a cold Feb. I believe we will find many more days below average than above. Bodes well for any kind of vorts we can get through here, not to mention the clippers.
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Scott,
It is setting up that way, at least for the first part of the month.
Brett
Posted by: Scott at February 1, 2007 9:16 AM
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Do we have any real chances for a GOOD snowfall? I would LOVE to see us get a real snow, especially after moving here from MN.
Keep up the great work! You guys are the best in KC!
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Jill,
Not a heavy snowfall until later in the month.
Brett
Posted by: jill at February 1, 2007 10:52 AM
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Did the snow we get give us enough snow to plunge the temperatures farther than expected? Or would there need to be more snow on the ground (how much?) to signifcantly affect temperatures?
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Shawn,
The snow totals of around 1" will not impact temperatures much. Maybe areas well south of the metro area that saw 3" could be a bit colder. In order for the snowpack to really impact temperatures there should be 3" or more of snow on the ground. We will still be plenty cold on Friday and Saturday with mainly teens to low 20s for highs.
Jeremy
Posted by: Shawn at February 1, 2007 12:33 PM
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I think I see the warm up after the 14th..for just a while. I think we will get some normal temps..but I am worried about this part of the LRC bringing in cold air as we get into the Spring. This should lead to some potent severe weather with the temp gradients only strengthening the potential. We really need to look at the specifics per day of the LRC. Especially the second half with the extreme temperature contrasts.
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Scott,
Try to analyze each one of these set ups and envision the same pattern in April and May. Then you can see if anything will happen. There certainly will be a few set ups for severe weather, but where will the main attraction be? Back over western Kansas where it used to be, or near our region as of the past few years?
The weather pattern will deamplify, but will there still be a cold air source near by. If there is then the next two weeks will have potential. I am going to blog about this later today or tomorrow.
Gary
Posted by: Scott at February 1, 2007 2:21 PM
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Hey Gary, we had about 2 inches of snow here in henry co. on top of the two inches of ice we already had. Great conditions for feeding cattle. Anyone interested in seeing snow should head southeast. On another note, am very interested in your wx theory. Have you ever corelated this to the cycle of the moon? Just coming from a 5th generation farmer.
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DD,
Very, very good point. This has been brought up in the past year. I am studying it now. There is a possibility.
Gary
Posted by: DD at February 1, 2007 2:56 PM
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Gary, could you answer a question for me, why don't we have winters like we used in the late 80's and early 90's, it used to snow alot more then , then it does now?
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Jim,
You wouldn't say this if you were just 75 miles further south. They have had 30 inches of snow so far this winter.
We will have winters like those years again. This year has come close to being one of them. But, not quite. I don't really have an explanation except for the fact that if you look at any decade there is usually one or two snowy cold winters and the others aren't that snowy. So, we are due, and it has almost happened this season unless you live north of I-70.
Gary
Posted by: Jim at February 1, 2007 3:03 PM
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