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Good evening everyone,
Thank you for all of the kind comments on the weather special. We will be posting it on our website by tonight or at the very latest tomorrow for you to see it if you missed it.
Look at the surface map below:
5:30 PM Thursday
The front is still there in a weakened state just south of Kansas City. There is a disturbance coming out of the big Baja California upper low. As this approaches we should have a nice band of rain with a few thunderstorms come across the region later tonight.
After this moves by, the front should lift north into Iowa and wash out. The main upper low will then eject over the weekend and will bring us more chances for rain. The threat of severe thunderstorms will remain low with this system, but like I always say, let's see how each day sets up. The better chance of severe thunderstorms will arrive mid next week. We could be near 80 degrees next Wednesday. Even though I am expecting some severe weather with this system, the questions are there. Will it be more concentrated west and well north of us? Well, it is just too far away.
Then looking further down the road the weather pattern has a very high likelyhood of producing a cold April outbreak. And, a late freeze.
Posted by at March 22, 2007 5:53 PM
Hello Mr. Lezak, How much rain do you expect to fall tonight?
NOAA has a risk of severe weather tomorrow afternoon. What do you think?
Thunderstorms are moving our way now. Tomorrow afternoon has some ingredients for severe weather, but a wave goes by in the morning and it may shut down the chance. Before the wave passes though there could be some heavy thunderstorms. The SPC is thinking a marginaly threat for hail tomorrow.
Posted by: Ben Tracy at March 22, 2007 6:35 PM
Gary, Just wanted to say that you do a wonderful keeping everyone informed. You are a calm during the storm so to speak!! No more snow now right? Thanks, Robin
It would be quite unusual for it to snow in April, but it has happened before. And, thank you!
Posted by: Robin at March 22, 2007 6:49 PM
Do you know how much rainfall we will receive tonight and tomorrow? Are we in the threat for a flooding situation?
There is potential for an inch or more, so minor flooding is possible.
Posted by: kristy at March 22, 2007 6:49 PM
Gary, Just another quick question, you said a cold outbreak in April, of severe weather or just cold. Sorry I ask so many questions, but thanks for always taking time to answer. Robin
A cold outbreak could come at the tail end of a severe weather outbreak, but otherwise they are very different.
Posted by: Robin at March 22, 2007 6:52 PM
I had .10 inches of rain at 151st and Mur-Len in Olathe from last night, bringing the total rainfall from this storm to .50 inches. Thanks, Eswar
Let us know how much you had from that last band and your latest total. Thanks!
Posted by: Eswar at March 22, 2007 8:47 PM
Since I still have last years sever weather inlet (yes i did find it), it does appear that it is the exact same thing only a little different. Like Bretts Weather myths (EX: of the tornado that struck the same town 3years in a row). Maybe I'm wrong but it sure does seem that way, but I still like it.
Now, onto weather. It appears that the area of rain is increasing not only in size but in strength. When do you except it to be here. I missed the 6PM weather show, so if you said it then, I missed it.
Now a question. I know you've probaly explained it to me and all of us a million times, but Im still really courious aobut how ESP works. Is there any type of website that can give me this type of info? I would like to know.
Do a google search for it and you should find some info. The severe weather insert is very similar to last years. We just updated it a bit.
Posted by: Alden at March 22, 2007 8:49 PM
Gary, Here's a question about thunder and lightning and the 10:00pm newscast. You mentioned about how to judge the distance of lightning by timing the thunder. I saw a nice flash toward the end of the weather report. I started counting and got about 7 - 7 1/2 sec when I heard the thunder. The interesting thing was that as I heard the thunder I heard you guys say that you heard the thunder in the studio. It would have to be the same thunder. At first I thought that we both must be the same distance from the lightning (thus I could triangulate and pinpoint the location). I realized that would quite be right. There is a delay in the signal leaving the studio and arriving at my TV (including traveling the cable system). So you guys heard the thunder first. But by how much? Do you have any idea what the signal delay time is? I'm assuming about 2 sec.
This is a science geeky question but a good place for it. :-)
I believe it is less than a second. We have cable TV in the Forecast Center and the delay is less than one second. So, we must be about the same distance. But, we were inside, so the rumble we heard could have rumbled for a second or two outside before we heard it inside?
Good math problem for you! 7 1/2 seconds would be 1 1/2 miles.
Posted by: Tracy at March 22, 2007 10:41 PM
I can not believe how warm the low temperatures have been recently. The lows have been so warm that it almost makes me want to turn on the AC. Are you saying the first week or two of April will switch back to the cooler part of the pattern with better chances at having temperatures below freezing? Until then, I will be waiting for the cooler temperatures.
Posted by: Devin at March 23, 2007 7:50 AM
Definitely had a good showering and some impressive lightning last night in eastern Olathe (near 143rd and Blackbob) around 10 - 11:30 pm on Thurs 3/22. Made it hard to sleep when I remembered the storms that blew through on Feb 27 pm / Feb 28 am.
Speaking of which, I went back to read the blogs from those dates (I'm new to the action weather blog--but love it already), did anyone else experience golf ball size hail in eastern Olathe? I remember waking up around 12:30 am on Wed 2/28 to an unbelivable pounding of hail. My back yard looked like a driving range with all of the hailstones! Anyway, I have some roof damage, as do my neighbors, but my insurance company claims that there wasn't any record of a hail storm that night... help!
I went to the NWS site to try and pull up historical images, but couldn't figure out any of the "station ID's" or any way to get that data. Any help on getting some proof of the storm would be appreciated!
There was some hail in Johnson county that evening, but it was no bigger than 1 inch in diameter. There was a lot of hail that accumulated on the ground though.
Posted by: Brian D. at March 23, 2007 8:09 AM
Cold Outbreak and Late Freeze??? Say it isn't so Gary!!!
How cold, and how hard of a freeze is a good question? Right now it isn't showing up yet so let's see when it does in a few days. We are cycling through the same pattern so this is what I am basing this on.
Posted by: Stephen at March 23, 2007 10:00 AM
Noaa has us in a 2% chance for tornadoes today and this evening. What are your thoughts on this? Do you think we will have tornados today/tonight? And if so how strong do you think they will be? Thanks, Robin
Think about what you are saying. If there was a 2% chance of rain would you think it is going to rain?
Right now I don't think any thunderstorms form until tonight, but we will be watching it closely.
Posted by: robin at March 23, 2007 11:15 AM
The weather special was great! I really thought it was great how you fit all of that info into 30 minutes was great! And I really liked the ESP demo.
We are glad you enjoyed it. Have a great weekend.
Posted by: Roberto at March 23, 2007 11:22 AM
Why on your site do you show current temps in the 30's and todays forcast as Monday?
I just checked the site and also called someone outside the building to check too...everything looks normal. Maybe refresh the page on your computer if you haven't tried that already. Hope that helps.
Posted by: Henry Ninstil at March 29, 2007 9:57 AM