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Changes Ahead!
I hope everyone had an enjoyable weekend! If you are heading out to the 'K' on Monday for the Royals home opener the weather looks almost June-like! Highs should be in the low 80s with nearly 100% sunshine! A couple of things to remember before leaving home to tailgate...1) sunscreen 2) it will be windy so leave the paper plates at home if possible. Other than that have a burger and beverage for me! My first trip to the 'K' is coming up on April 21 when the Royals take on the Twins(yeah, I'm a Twins fan).
I was discussing the weather for opening day with Jack Harry and he was telling me about past openers that had terrible weather with cold temps, lots of wind, and even some snowflakes!
Alright, after enjoying highs in the low 80s on Monday some big changes are on the way. A cold front will pass through the region sometime Tuesday morning, the exact timing of the front will determine if our highs will remain the 60s, or if the front slows down we may sneak into the low 70s. Below is the surface map from the 18Z GFS for 18Z on Tuesday. The front is through the area, and as it moves through a few isolated showers are possible.
View image 
Behind the front the remainder of the week will be dominated by below average high and low temperatures and also the chance of a frost or freeze on several mornings. If skies are clear and winds are on the light side I could see temps dropping to around 27 or 28 degrees one night! While these would not be record lows, this may spell trouble for those of you that got a jump start on your gardening. This is something we will keep a very close eye on all week! Below is the GFS temperature forecast map for Thursday morning. This has temps on either side of 30 degrees for the viewing area.
View image 
Have a great week and if you have some memorable stories from opening day at the 'K' feel free to share them!
Jeremy
Posted by jnelson at April 1, 2007 7:10 PM
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Jeremy! Congrats on putting up your first image! Not perfect, but a great start. Now we expect even more from you!!!
Keep up the good work.
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Scott,
I just needed some calm weather and the time to learn how to post images. I think you caught me in the process of entering stuff...then hitting refresh...then fixing things...etc. The first picture is a little big when you click on it...so I still have some things to iron out. But we are getting there!
Jeremy
Posted by: Scott at April 1, 2007 7:53 PM
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Now we are expecting for you to learn how to size your images, crop them, and draw on them...
All in due time. You are doing good.
An idea. Talk with Gary about this. As it is important for your bloggers/viewers to be engaged..it might be cool to have a monthly blog that focuses on learning. I have already placed my request, but others might have ideas that would help in general awareness, map reading 101, or other features of forecasting that may be of interest.
Just one entry per month, and maybe some additional resources listed as links for more info.
Whatcha think?
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Scott,
Baby steps:) I'll discuss your ideas with Gary.
Jeremy
Posted by: Scott at April 1, 2007 8:39 PM
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Do you think this upcoming surge of cooler air will be our last taste of highs in the 50s?
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Marlina,
I doubt it considering our average is around 60 and we are heading into the cooler part of the pattern. We will very likely see highs in the 50s again after this week.
Jeremy
Posted by: Marlina at April 1, 2007 9:39 PM
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I agree with Scott. I read the blog because I am interested in the weather and think the NBC Action News Weather team is the best! (I also think Gary's recurring cycle is fascinating). But, when you all get into the maps and all the specifics, that is way over my head. It would be nice for us non-science types to learn some basics so we understand things a little more.
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Koyuki,
Thanks for your post! We love the weather and try to cater to the advanced and beginner weather lovers. If you ever have questions just ask and we will take the time to explain things. We will certainly look at adding another 'education' part of the blog in the future.
Jeremy
Posted by: Koyuki King at April 1, 2007 9:59 PM
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Hey Jeremy-
Now I have a real dumb question- Gary said something about 4-6 severe weather outbreaks this year, is that nationwide or just for our area?
Thank you
Rosita
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Rosita,
That is for our viewing area. April-June look to be quite active(although not this week).
Jeremy
Posted by: Rosita at April 1, 2007 10:03 PM
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Hey Jeremy!
I will also be at the K by coincidence on your first game there vs your lowly Twinkies! If you think that is bad, wait till you go to Arrowhead and watch your Vikings lose! Even Gary has my back on that one! Not one to blow off wx here, but it is warranted this time! I'll get more serious when the wx does! Keep up the good work!
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TW,
When it comes to MN pro sports I always feel like the Twins give me the best chance of a championship in the near future. The other teams are a long way off! I hope the Royals do well(except when they play the Twins). The things Dayton Moore is doing is a lot like how the Twins built the team back into contention around 2000 with young players with a veteran here and there. Don't worry...there's hope!
Back to the weather. The 00Z models are bumping up the rain chances on Tuesday. So anytime Tuesday morning into early Tuesday afternoon a few showers and storms are possible as a cold front moves through the region.
Jeremy
Posted by: TW at April 1, 2007 11:47 PM
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Wow they must be working on the web site, kinda looks like a "Picaso"sp? right now;) Actually I wasn't sure if I was going to find the blog but I found a way in:)
The warm up should be dramatic today with a "dry" air warm up rather than a humid warm up!
I read in the paper yesterday here in St. Joe that an old tree was blown down in Saturday's wind event just a few blocks from my house!!
It is still weird that because of the LRC I knew that this cold snap was coming from so long ago, it almost doesn't feel real!
Thanks for your time.
Nick in (clear) St. Joe!!!!
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Nick,
This is the first time we have really used the LRC to predict the weather with such precision. I was always afraid to try it because as I say, "each time through the cycle you can get very different specific results". This weather pattern is very complex, but every weather pattern is. And, we are predicting the long range with accuracy where as other forecasts thought there would not be another freeze. I just hope the freeze is not a very hard one, but I am concerned. Now, will we see a rare April snow?
Gary
Posted by: Nick Rau at April 2, 2007 7:03 AM
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What happened last year that caused the temperatures to reach 90? Also do you think that could happen again in April this year?
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Audrey,
Last year was rather dry going into April and then we had a very warm weather pattern set up. We see the exact opposite this year. We go into April somewhat wet and a very cold weather pattern is setting up. So no 90s this year in April. We hit 90 three times last year in April.
Gary
Posted by: Audrey at April 2, 2007 8:42 AM
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