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Week 5 HS predictions
October 4, 2007Before I break down this week's games, let me correct a mistake I made earlier this week. I had written the other day that Windthorst remained ranked since early 2004, when they had started 1-2 after Brad Green had suffered a collarbone injury.
Well, as it turned out, they fell to No. 10 (where they are ranked now) after being shut out to Electra. So 2003 was the last time the Trojans were not ranked.
Now onto Week 5 games:
Denton Ryan at WFHS: The Coyotes have played pretty well, but Denton Ryan picked apart Old High last year. I expect this one to be closer, but I am going to choose the Raiders.
Rider at Denton Guyer: I am going to go with the team who HAS won a varsity game in its existence (that would be Rider for those of you who have just recently emerged from a cave dwelling).
Bishop Lynch at Graham: It is Graham's homecoming, and I am going to be there. Why are these facts significant?
Because the last two homecoming games I have covered this year (Vernon at Decatur; Canadian at Windthorst), the home team has lost. But I don’t think that trend will continue. Steers are the pick.
Vernon at Breckenridge: The Lions won last year on a late field goal. This game is always close, and the home team has won each of the past three. Vernon will be looking to rebound, but I will give a slight edge to the Buckaroos.
SA Lakeview at Hirschi: It seems like every game Hirschi plays, three or four guys end up getting hurt. Injuries are not good for any school, but the Huskies' depth is the least of any area 3A school. Lakeview wins, while Hirschi just hopes to get healthy heading into district.
Burkburnett at Clyde: Clyde has lost to Graham and beaten Vernon. Its third game against a 6-3A team should be a tough test for the Bulldogs, but one I think RB Lyn Barnes and the Bulldogs pass.
Iowa Park at Comanche: From minimal research, I have discovered that Comanche is not very good. And the Hawks are on a roll now. They will enter district with a 3-game win streak.
Chico at Holliday: Holliday. No question.
City View at Nocona: Nocona. Another easy 9-2A one to choose.
Alvord at Olney: The Cubs were manhandled up front last week by Henrietta, but I think they will bounce back against the Bulldogs. If not, their playoff hopes will be quickly dashed.
Henrietta at Jacksboro: Both teams field good defenses, so this one should be a low-scoring affair. I will go with the team coming off the bigger district victory -- Henrietta is the pick.
Windthorst at FW Christian: The Trojans played a great first half against Canadian, then laid a stinker in the third quarter. They are doing some uncharacteristic things -- fumbling snaps, going the wrong way on handoffs -- that I have never seen them do. I will pick FW Christian in a close one, but will not be surprised if the Trojans pull things together.
Next week every district season begins, so check out my district predictions on Monday.
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