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Week 6 predictions
October 11, 2007If you ever watch college football on ESPN on Saturdays, you will notice that they always have a slogan to describe that weekend's slate of games.
"Showdown Saturday." "Rebound Saturday." "Shake-up Saturday." They give an angle to how the key games are viewed.
Well, I am not going to be as corny as ESPN, but I will say this much. This weekend, with many districts opening, will tell us a lot about some area teams who have some uncertainty surrounding them.
Before I get into all my district picks, here are a few of the games I am talking about:
Burkburnett at Iowa Park: The Hawks have won three straight (including a very impressive W against Bridgeport), but two of those victories have come against winless teams.
So how good are the Hawks? We will find out against a tough team like Burkburnett. I think the Bulldogs will win a close game, although IP pulling this one out is not out of the question.
Nocona at Holliday: I moved Nocona into my Top 10 last week, and they have been playing very well of late. But the Indians' two district wins have come against 0-2 teams, as has Holliday (which has beaten City View and Chico).
So I do not know how good the Indians are. But we will find out Friday when they visit Holliday. It is tough for me to pick against the Eagles, so Holliday will win. But if Nocona plays them to the wire, then that is a good sign for the Indians' playoff hopes.
Archer City at Seymour: How good is Archer City? How good is Seymour? I think they are both pretty solid teams who beat the non-district teams they were supposed to have beaten, with Seymour posting the best win, taking down Jacksboro.
Like I said the other day, I think the winner of this game makes the playoffs. Last year, the senior-laden team won a hard-fought game on their home turf. I think that happens again this year, so I am going to go with Seymour, which holds an experience factor.
Now onto the other picks:
Denison at Rider: The Raiders are starting to run the ball better, and that is not a good sign for the Yellowjackets. Rider wins big, very big.
WFHS at Boswell: There are two reasons I picked the Coyotes this week, even though I witnessed Boswell score almost 50 points against WFHS last year.
First, the Coyotes offense had a very good showing against Ryan, racking up tons of yards. And second, Boswell only beat Denton Guyer 56-42 earlier in the season. Any team that gives up 42 points to a school that has not won a football game ever before is in some serious trouble on defense. I know the WFHS defense isn't the best of the bunch, but it will be good enough in this shootout.
Hirschi at Graham: The Steers are playing some of the best ball in the area, and it would be easy for them to overlook the struggling Huskies. But here is why they won't.
They remember the game last year, in which they lost to Hirschi. The Steers want some revenge for their only district blemish, and I have a feeling they will get it in a big way. Steers by a couple of touchdowns at least.
Olney at City View: The Cubs looked like they got back on track against Alvord last week, scoring 40+ points. Expect another offensive explosion for Olney in this one.
Alvord-Jacksboro: A game Jacksboro really needs to win to keep thinking playoffs. The Tigers may be down after letting Henrietta rally to beat them, but I think they come out and prove a point this week.
Henrietta-Chico: Cannot recall off the top of my head who the home team is in this one, but it won't matter. The Bearcats will not suffer a letdown and will head into the Holliday game with a 3-0 district record.
Quanah-Shamrock: Quanah is struggling this year, but I still think they are the team to beat in 3-A. The Indians win a close one.
Windthorst at Electra: Both teams need a win bad. Even though the Tigers have struggled (six points scored all season), they have played a brutal schedule and the Trojans will be probably the easiest team they have played to date.
I still think the Trojans will win this game, and they should do it by at least a couple of scores.
Munday at Petrolia: At this time last year, an undefeated Munday team got knocked off by Petrolia. The Moguls are a perfect 5-0 this year too, and this game is on the road.
Munday's non-district schedule has been pretty easy, but I think the Moguls are for real. Petrolia is a solid team, and if they can force some turnovers and limit the big plays, then maybe they can pull an upset.
The Moguls were picked apart by Petrolia's passing game last year, but the Pirates are more run-oriented this year. I will go with Munday by 10.
Let the district games begin.
Posted by Zach Duncan at 03:55 PM | Permalink | Comments (0)
