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Week 3 predictions
September 18, 2008I have been thinking it for weeks. Texasfootballratings.com backed me up yesterday.
Usually after a couple of weeks, the Texas high school football website, which has ratings for every team, predicts how a team will finish if the season ended now (based on those rankings).
Then they simulate the playoffs, and the results from this area were not pretty.
WFHS does not make it in 4A, and Vernon is left out in 3A (making Burk the only 3A in that class.) Burk also gets blown out by China Spring after its bye.
Among the three area 2A teams, two lose in the first round (to Clyde and Cisco). Quanah does not make it in A (it seems like their district is pretty tough this year) and two of the 9-A teams are out the first week after their bye.
Not counting Rider, Windthorst is the only area 11-man team still standing after the second week.
That is because the website has Seymour edging out Munday for third, sending the Panthers onto Div. I. Which means Archer City, the district winner, goes Div. II and runs into a very good Roscoe team right off the bat.
That's exactly what happened to Munday last year, but they were able to take down the Plowboys. This prediction also had Windthorst losing to Roscoe in the state quarterfinals.
Just something I found interesting. Now onto this week's predictions:
* Rider at Tyler John Tyler: If Rider only turns the ball over 2-3 times a game, it would be 2-0 and still ranked No. 2 in the state. Tyler John Tyler is good, but I believe this is the week the Raiders finally get on track.
* Holliday at Hirschi: An intriguing matchup, indeed. Hirschi obviously has more speed, but here is two reasons why I will pick the Eagles to win by about 10.
First, they average almost 300 rushing yards per game, while Hirschi averages 35. And Holliday has turned the ball over twice this year, while Hirschi has made nine in the last two games.
The Huskies may hit on some big plays, and getting back RB Darius Thornton should help, but I do not think it will be enough.
* Graham at Iowa Park: Someone has to win, right? Neither teams has looked to sharp and this has all the makings of a shootout. Somehow, I think Graham would have beaten Holliday (IP lost 21-14 last week), and the Steers have the better QB, although Lee Clubb has looked good too. Graham in a close and hopefully deadline-friendly one, since I will be there.
* Breckenridge at Vernon: The Lions have struggled offensively biut should put up plenty of points against the Buckaroos in a rout.
* Gainesville at Burkburnett: The impressive wins keep on piling up for the Bulldogs, who have not allowed any points in the first half so far. Burk wins big against a mediocre Leopard squad.
* Paradise at Bowie: This should be a great game, but I think Paradise wins it. Do not really know why, I liked the Bowie team I saw last week. The Panthers have some impressive wins too, and I think they will find a way to win.
* Nocona vs. Callisburg: How good are the Indians? That is a legit question, because they have not played a decent team yet in three blowouts. This will be a good test, one they should pass. Next week against Paradise should be even harder.
* Jacksboro at Olney: The Tigers looked strong against Bowie last week. And what did the Cubs do? They lost to Windthorst by 32 points, thanks to several turnovers. Makes this pick pretty easy.
* City View at Chico: I heard KFDX reported a City View win at first on last week's Friday night show. There is a chance that could be accurate this week. The Mustangs have won only one game in the last three years, and it came against the Dragons. Instead, I will go with the home team in a competitive game.
* Windthorst at Alvord: Alvord has crushed its three opponents this year, but have not faced a strong team yet. The Trojans have already played against two decent 2A programs, and should be ready to beat their second in a row. Windthorst by 10-14.
* Seymour vs. Hamlin: I know the Pied Pipers beat Quanah. I also know the Panthers are getting better. Both have new coaches, but I like the way Seymour is coming along, so I will give them the win.
* Quanah at Munday: Both teams have been a little bit of a disappointment so far. But I think Munday will begin to turn things around, and it starts with a win here.
* Electra vs. Wellington: Coach Stewart said this team may be the best they have played so far. The Tigers have already lost to Alvord and Holliday, and I can see another L here.
* Petrolia vs. Muenster: Neither team is that good, but Petrolia did score first against Henrietta the other day. That is good enough reason for me to pick them.
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