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DCTF discussion: District finishes
June 22, 2009Today's "Texas Football" topic is going to be my thoughts on the district prediction finishes.
Before I looked at each of our four main districts, I wrote down the order I thought the teams would be in.
And I agreed with much of what was forecast. Only a couple decisions in a couple districts were head-scratching.
Let's break them down:
*5-4A -- The only district that we both pegged the same teams in order. I think Guyer and Ryan are 1-2 and in a class by themselves. Rider is third, and Lake Dallas, with QB James Franklin returning, is fourth.
I can't see the Colony or WFHS closing the gap between the teams. Looks good to me.
*5-3A -- This district was the one where I had the most differences.
"Texas Football" went (in this order): Bridgeport, Burkburnett, Decatur, Iowa Park, Vernon and Hirschi.
I had Burk getting second and Hirschi in last. Really my biggest feeling is that Bridgeport will not repeat as the champs because they lost several key offensive weapons to graduation.
I had the Bulls fourth, with Decatur winning the district after not making the playoffs a year ago. They got stung by some injuries last year and will have the district's best QB in three-year starter Tim Metts.
I gave Vernon the last playoff nod, but I can live with IP ahead of the Lions. So basically, I think Burkburnett and Decatur are the surest playoff bets, with those other three mentioned vying for third.
*5-2A -- We both agreed with the same three playoff teams, and both had Holliday in first. I picked Bowie to take second (I really like the Tyler Price-Aaron Chokas combo in the backfield) and Henrietta to get third. Dave Cambell's had them flip-flopped.
Outside of those three, I think as of right now Olney has the best chance to make the postseason. I had them 4th and Nocona 5th, and they had it the other way around.
Nocona has the edge not having to adjust to a new coach, but Olney has the most returning starters in 5-2A outside of Holliday, plus QB Callen Pittman will be looking to prove himself after missing last year with an ACL injury.
*9-A -- Windthorst, which had some impact freshmen step up last year, is my early pick to win the district (I know, I know -- I'm going on a really big limb here, aren't I). "Texas Football" had them second behind Seymour.
I had Seymour, which was given a lofty No. 5 state ranking, taking second.
DCTF liked Munday in the third spot. And there is a bunch to like about the Moguls. But I had them fourth because I like Archer City even better.
Sure, they lost almost all their lines, so a gigantic question mark is there. But QB Patrick Dayton returns. So does my Red River 22 Defensive MVP in linebacker Cooper Twyford. So does impact starters Tres Hughes and Charlie Weakley.
Will I stick by my predictions once two-a-days begin and I talk to several coaches? I guess we will wait and see.
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